Amped

Improved by an ass hair I guess

Its more south than east. Probably just as good for us.

Yeah but it has no discernible impact on the short term forecast, contrary to what some may imply.

Can we stop talking about LA Nina? Thanks.

Snowiccane 2.0

The low is deforming over you guys. Its very circular off the Jersey shore and becomes a classic ellipse elongated NW to SE near the cape.

This is the most April 97 looking 500mb low Ive seen for you guys since April 97.

Precip shield is more spread out to the northwest ths run instead of concentrated over snj. Makes the forecast easier.

1002mb to 977mb in 12 hrs

Nam is still playing catchup with the amplitude of the western ridge.

Nam did some wonky stuff with the lead wave 6z back to its normal crazy stuff this run. EDIT: Snow all the way down to Charlottesville at 7pm tomorrow.

Surface low is way north.

Also, the gfs has a lot more precip and higher pwat values ahead of the storm over the Carolinas, Va, and Ohio Valley. That helps lower surface pressures further northwest and favors a northwest track.

After looking at the Euro further I believe it's coastal low is misplaced. This is not how a typical occluded low looks. There should be a double barrel low with one surface low at the east end of the coma head at the triple point and another one at the west end with a curved band connecting the two. The Euro has one funny looking low in the middle with a little hat of precip to the north. The Gfs and Icon have a much easier to understand solution, the surface low forms right where the 500mb energy hits the coast.

I call bs on this euro run. No way the 500mb maps justify a 70 mile shift southeast.

Already digging the 250mb jet more into Arizona.

Can we pickup DC and move it to SNJ?

Icon looks more amped too.

In our region. Gfs didn't have as much snow for Northern Pa, NYC, and New England as the NAM does now.

The low is probably hooking over SE Mass this run.

Breaking out more precip in Ohio this run and more ridging ahead.

The Nam is just digging the northern stream smoothly this run. Its not doing a wonky meander. What fun is that?

Now that is how I remember hecs modeling inside 72hrs in the 2000s and early 2010s.

The 250mb jet has been more amped up and further west each of the past 4 runs. https://i.imgur.com/xlxrxyI.gif

It hit the 40/70 benchmark this run, so its a perfect track.