HighStakes

I remember the Saturday in 2013. Wasn't that the one with heavy wet snow? I think it was pretty warm that afternoon before it snowed. The one I'm talking about was another Saturday in 2012.

Do you remember that rogue band a Saturday night in February during the dismal 2012 winter? A front went through earlier in the day with some snow showers then a weak fading squall line. After that pushed through there was nothing until later that night when it started snowing. Hardly anything on radar and we got like 2-3 inches in a couple hours.

Interesting you brought that up. It was early February and Manchester pulled of 3-4 inches out of a rogue band late at night. My house was just built here and I came up from Reisterstown the next morning. When I arrived it was a solid 3 on the ground. Hampstead got maybe an inch. The cutoff was very similar to January 19th storm this year. Once you it went south of us and got to Walmart amounts drastically decreased. Seems to be something about that first ridge heading north on 30 leaving Walmart as the cutoff often. The band faded heading south so by the time it got to Reisterstown it only snowed about a half inch. It was definitely from that storm that hit Lancaster area with 10 inches from the connective bands. It was like a weird inverted trough.

I think about how incredibly some of those years were all the time and that's why it's easy to accept the recent drought. Don't forget we somehow managed to get close to average in 2017/18 and 2018/19. Also look how lucky we got in 2020/21.

Right where we want it!

Also has some light snow Saturday night into Sunday morning

All the MECS and HECS model runs and wishcasting is just BS! How good does 3-6 inches of cold powder sound now even if it's only light to moderate rates over an 18-24 hours. I can certainly agree to a long duration moderate event with no temp or column issues where every flake counts. Instead were grasping for a dusting. Lol

Freezing out! Only 18.

It was Plow'n on his way to meet Stormtracker for a beer.

We got unlucky the week after the storm on the 19th of January. That entire week we had plenty cold and not one threat materialized. First one was on Tuesday/Wednesday and that failed. Then there was a chance on Friday that never got going and finally the following Monday chance that failed. Had we just had one more moderate event that week and cashed in this week with at least a moderate event this would have been a very solid winter. Not to be!

Didn't a famous poster once say he was "bitter and angry"? Well it appears we have all achieved that staus.

Wow!

How can you say that when I'm eating my desert!

We've endured a great deal of Heartbreak as winter enthusiasts living in the Mid-Atlantic. Hard to believe I had just turned 16 in January 1989. I can rember that bust so vividly as well. Were definitely getting old lol. The late 80's and early 90's were brutal. I lived a mile north of Beltway exit 20 which is roughly 3 miles north of where @nw baltimore wx currently lives. It a was a relative good spot for snow for the immediate metro area.

My top 5 busts in no particular order except for 3/2001 which will always take top billing. I'm not including Boxing Day one because it was clear well in advance it was a fail. 3/2001 2/1989 12/30/2000 Early February 1985. Forecast was for rain changing to snow and 6-10 inches. It did changeover briefly ending up with an inch. There was also a moderate bust in January 1985 also. Superbowl Sunday 1986. Heavy rain was supposed to change to heavy snow. Changeover was brief only leaving putrid coating. Honorable mention: 3/91 Early January 1988 3/1989 1/1984 1/1985

Who knows what some of these people on here are thinking. Lol. Probably was some guy from the Tidewater.

A few days ago someone mentioned February 1989 analog showing up. We were under a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 and never sniffed a flake. I think Eastern shore got crushed. Maybe Norfolk too.

Regardless of final outcome this has been a top 3 worst storm tracking experiences.

Just had a serious gusto 5 minutes ago.

I think I would feel better if the NAM had the jackpot in Scranton. Lol.

I would agree. Maybe 36 hours to see significant change.

Just went back and looked. EURO has it snowing lightly here early Thursday morning with -16 at 850. That's insane. This is a serious cold airmass. All we need is .3-.4 qpf. and it's a great little storm.

Seems like the logical approach. Still 72 hours. So much can change in the last 48 hours as we've often been victim of.

Both EURO and GFS seem to have a stronger cold push on Tuesday ahead of the storm. Only low 20's for highs here. A couple days ago it was upper 20's. Wednesday morning has high single digits and the barely hits 20 for a high with barely any precip. It looks like cold is overwhelming the system.