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HighStakes

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Posts posted by HighStakes

  1. 3 hours ago, Chris78 said:

    My guess is Elias still sells at the trade deadline. He's fully invested in his long term plan. Probably still 2 years away from really contending. 

    Man this team is exciting though.

     

    1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

    I think they still sell also and it’s going to piss off many fans. But I’m enjoying this, they’re playing with house money.

    I Agree. I'm loving it too but I think Elias has to stick to the plan for the big picture. We getting excellent starting pitching but there's no way to know if these guys can stay consistent and sustain this level. In reality there's probably only 2 guys that may be in the starting rotation next year. If selling means we continue to add quality and depth then thats the right thing to do. Defense has been excellent and we're getting clutch hitting. It shouldn't be difficult to lure good starting pitching here now with that fence in left field if the organization really opens up the pocket book assuming the market has some good arms available. Bottom line is there is an awful lot to look forward too!

    • Like 5
  2. 34 minutes ago, CAPE said:

    Since I have lived over here, I have seen one snow "event" in April (the 5th maybe?), and it was 2" and fell in the evening. Cant recall the year but probably early/mid 90s. Once it stopped it melted. Barely a trace the next morning lol. It was wrap around from a big, slow moving storm off of the NE coast that retrograded. Very odd way to get snow and could probably only happen in the Spring. Have had some good March snow events in the past several years ofc, including the one in 2018 on the 20th. I remember a 3" snowfall at the end of March and it was pretty localized over this way- it fell at night(1990 maybe?). Other than that the only significant late March snow event that stands out was when I lived up in Carroll county, and it was the 1984 March 29th (Mayflower) storm. That was around 6", and probably the most sloppy wet snow ever- more like compacted slush during the daylight hours. Ratios were probably like 4:1.

    I remember the 1984 storm well. Of course because of the Colts. I lived approximately 2-3 miles south of the Colts complex in Owing Mills. I got about 2 inches of slush but it was quite a wintry scene that morning. Wind blown wet snow.  I always wondered how Westminster faired with that storm. Now I know lol. I think we had a 2 hour delay that they changed into schools closed. 

    April 2nd/3rd 1990 2-4 inches fell in Pikesville/OwingsMills/Reisterstown corridor. Not sure How Carroll County did. 

    April 1996 maybe the 9th? We were under a winter storm Warning. The warning didn't verify but it did snow all day. 1-2 of slop in Reisterstown. Areas further North/Northeast however did do well. 

    Since I moved to Manchester in 2009 I can't remember an April where there weren't at the very least snow flurries/snow showers. Most years we have snow cover the ground in April. We had snow showers here in May of 2020.

    The latest legit snow I can remember was in April 1993. Can't recall the date but pretty sure it was after the 10th. I was in Westminster because I attended Western Maryland College then and there was 2-3 inches. Snowed heavily all morning. Sane storm mid winter probably would've yielded 10 inches.

     

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

    Good…was worried about ya down there. Although that’s still a pretty crazy difference (about 7 here) considering we’re only like 700 yards apart.  The valley I walked to was on the NW side and you’re on the SE of my ridge. Maybe that affected the wind exposure, you would be sheltered by my ridge where the other side was exposed. 

    Only was windy twice here throughout the storm when the heaviest rates occurred. 

  4. 19 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    @HighStakes March is where it’s at up here. In my 15 years here we’ve had a warning level March snow 10 times.  Feb is skewed by that ~70” month in 2010 but if you take that one year out March is by far our snowiest month!  

    No Doubt! I've liked this set up for tomorrow all along. If we fail then it's probably because the heavier band shifts east a bit not because the cold is delayed. This isn't some marginal crappy rate dependent cold coming into our area. That's my take, I've been wrong plenty times but I think tomorrow works out for a lot of us. For our part of the sub forum specifically this is a classic March set up.

  5. 50 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

     

    I don’t have the ability to quantify this accurately. I’d be very interested if someone found a way to model this and went back and tried to use old saved data to project how some historical events would be different in todays temps. Of course maybe we could do that simply for the UHI effects but it’s not really likely to work on a full scale since the temp changes affect the global patterns so the truth is none of those storms would have even existed at all and completely different storms would if we changed the whole temp equation. You can’t just change just the temps but keep everything else the same. It doesn’t work that way. 
     

    But to simplify I think everything’s bleeding the wrong way to some marginal degree. Ignoring the fact they wouldn’t be the same events I think in general storms that would have been a 30* 8” snow would be a 32* 6” wet paste bomb now.  Some 6” paste bomb might be a 2-4” slush slop fest now. And what I was a slop fest is now white rain. You get the idea. 

    There were several cold shots this past January that were certainly solid cold days but I'm convinced they would have been more impressive just several years ago. DCA is another story all together but now even BWI has trouble staying below freezing during the day even when there is a decent mid winter cold front. 

    There are way too many days that bust warm now. A sunny winter day forecasted to be in the mid 40's ends up in the low 50's up here. On the other side it seems there are almost no days that bust too low anymore. 

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