ncjoaquin

Agree on the roads. Not a ton of snow, but the sleet has piled up on the roads big time.

Yep. I have seen it wrong many times, but not this time.

So far, NWS was correct and the downsloping held true. I'm looking at .7 inches of snow. I'm not sure I will make it to an inch. Just never could get it going. Maybe there will be a burst later tonight. Otherwise, on to the next one. It looks like maybe there will be other chances. Congrats to all of those that really cashed in. I'm not complaining though. I'm happy to have some chances this winter! Edited to add, my predominant precip has been sleet for a while.

Graham County at the far western end of the state.

Just can't keep it going. I have bursts of glory, then back to the small flakes.

Not reached that point yet. Hopefully, soon.

Agreed! Finally, some real snow. This should accumulate better than what I've had.

Those long awaited returns from Tennessee are closing in fast. Let's see what they can do.

Ramping up here also. Not all fat flakes, but there are some snowballs mixed in. I'm thinking that will be the predominant kind soon.

Nice!! I'm already getting some bigger flakes. Temp still hanging at 27.5.

I went walking for the last hour and a half. Snow is beautiful. Ground is covered. Roads are snow covered. I'm looking forward to what Met showed on radar.

I live SW of Candler.

I'm behind you guys, but snowing here now!!!

We had some good ones together Don. You being here has to be good luck!!!

It is because Asheville is situated in a valley between 2 mountain ranges. We can get downsloped and models will show it as at lesser precip amount than surrounding areas. While this modeled minimum has validity, it obviously is not always what happens. I have seen many snowstorms where that modeled minimum is shown and Avl and the whole French Broad River valley meets or exceeds the surrounding area in snowfall. Of course, I have seen where this minimum has held true. Asheville has 20 snowstorms historically that have exceeded 10 inches of snow. 65 inches of rain fell at the airport last year. Asheville averages more snow than any non mountain location in the state. It can precipitate here. So, while the minimum may be correct, I have found it prudent to nowcast. There are plenty of models where the minimum is not that extreme. We shall see.

Agreed, and then they can adjust accordingly. I know they can't just blow it out like some weenie on a message board, lol. They have to answer to the public. Just give me and you a few inches, and we will be happy.

I noted that in the mountain thread. They are smart people, but they sure do have a lot of eggs in that one basket.

GSP all in on the NAM. Also believe the precip minimum in the Aville valley. They could be right. Multiple models not showing a significant precip minimum. That minimum is modeled on more precip events than I care to remember. It has also been incorrect many times and Aville and Buncombe has over performed. We shall see. Let's just start with that 1st flake and go from there. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GSP&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

I will do it. I only go a couple times a year, but I will let you know.

Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead!

I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation.

SREF looks better for KAVL. That usually bodes well for the NAM looking better. We shall see.

The only thing that I'm jealous about strongwxnc for is that he can run faster than me!

I don't see a rivalry. Everybody in the mountains would love to see Foothills people get snow. I would be thrilled if WNCSnow gets more than me. He invests a lot in the board, has tried to stay positive, and he deserves it. That said, nobody controls the weather. I'm in the mountains and have had some dustings and 1 one inch snowfall in 3 years. But if you guys get it, or the Raleigh people or Atlanta people get, yay for them!!!

From GSP. I fall in the 3 inch category and would take that in a heartbeat.