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ncjoaquin

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Everything posted by ncjoaquin

  1. ncjoaquin
    12z GFS showing a possibility in the same time frame, especially on the border. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
  2. ncjoaquin
    0z Euro shows some potential, just a week out as noted by GSP. It will probably change, but it shows the potential is there. A more southerly track like the new 06/00z EC suggests heavy rain Monday, transitioning to wintry precip on the back side Monday night. The GDPS is similar in track to the EC but not as cold. The GFS timing would delay peak impacts to Tuesday, but hints at a more marginal HSLC event.
  3. ncjoaquin
    I can be negative. I know I can. I get it. There has been very little or none valley and low land snow But the constant negativity and warm weather trolling wears me out. Hopefully, we get some snow soon. I will be disappointed if we don't. But dang.... It will snow again one day.
  4. ncjoaquin
    Oh yeah I'm not super concerned. Hell even if we don't I'm good with this winter. Beat the crap out of last year. It has not beat the crap out of it here. An inch last year, with a 1/2 inch this year. But..... I feel really good about the backend of winter. Everything looks about as good as it can look. We've been plenty cold enough. We have had copious moisture. We just need both things to kindly occur at the same time. I think that happens. I'm looking forward to it.
  5. ncjoaquin
    Let it be so, lol. A lot of model ups and downs.
  6. ncjoaquin
    I'll hold you to it, lol. Me too!
  7. ncjoaquin
    Looks like upper elevations stand a good shot of more snow Tuesday night and Wed morning!!! If we can throw in some Feb and March snow to the mix, it will be an excellent winter for you guys.
  8. ncjoaquin
    I can see a mountain no more than 200 feet above my elevation and you can see the trees in snow and snow falling. Ridiculous. I guess snow drought begets snow drought. Oh well, on to the next one.
  9. ncjoaquin
    There is a mountain I can see no more than 200 feet above my elevation and you can see the snow falling and snow in the trees. Here, just every so often snowflakes.
  10. ncjoaquin
    It's hard to beat the Lees McRae webcam. (Obviously, time sensitive, lol) https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/lees-mcrae/
  11. ncjoaquin
    The ones that need your sarcasm, met1985, probably would not even realize that you're being sarcastic, lol.
  12. ncjoaquin
    Take it with a grain of NaCl, but the 6z GFS op brings a series of snow chances. These show up and disappear run to run. Hopefully, they start getting in a 5 day window. GSP not very excited by the upcoming upslope. It looks better to me than what they think, but they have forgotten more than I know.
  13. ncjoaquin
    It will probably change, but GFS op looks good for multiple MTN chances after this week.
  14. ncjoaquin
    Just made it to 10 here. But, I ran 6 miles at 10 degrees, so there is that. I'm not StrongWXnc, but not bad for 5 months short of 60. Looks like a warm week, with a "shot" of something wintry a week from Monday.
  15. ncjoaquin
    Snowing pretty good all over Buncombe County.
  16. ncjoaquin
    You missed the black ice here. Apparently, really slick. Jealous? Just kidding !!! I know snow beats black ice any day of the week. I love Banner Elk. I hope you get blitzed with snow. Take lots of pictures.
  17. ncjoaquin
    21 degrees and actually a few flurries. Definitely feels like winter despite missing out on big snow.
  18. ncjoaquin
    Late in a NAM run, but it really picks up on the upslope at the end of the run.
  19. ncjoaquin
    Ha! Ha! They would realllllllllllyyyyyyy need the business.
  20. ncjoaquin
    Oh Lord! Good luck.
  21. ncjoaquin
    Keep them coming!
  22. ncjoaquin
    Great pictures Met, Buckethead, Phelps, Wxknurd, Snowbird, Moto, Tyler. I love seeing them!!!
  23. ncjoaquin
    Any of you border counties picking up anything? I have a friend just over the border in TN that says 23 and freezing drizzle. They said it is a skating rink there.
  24. ncjoaquin
    7 degrees Wed morning. 47 and rain Thursday afternoon. Nice. There is a snow likely Thursday night (with of course they always awesome, little or no accumulation) but I will believe it when I see it. Anyway, good luck to all. At a minimum, maybe we can all avoid busted pipes.
  25. ncjoaquin
    We'll get ours before the winter is done. There is time.
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