ncjoaquin

So, the last several snowstorms, me, HT, Moonhowl, Hunter, Fritschy/Tacoma and others in the AVL area all have had good snow totals no matter what was forecast, no matter whether the models were showing us being dry slotted, or precip reduced by being in the valley or not. But, there was a stretch in the 90's where Asheville got dry slotted on EVERY snowstorm. It would start snowing hard and then just cut off like someone had put a ceiling on the sky. I mention this because the GFS and to a certain extent the FV3 are showing AVL being dry slotted or precip being drastically reduced because of the valley effect. The Euro does not show this, thankfully. We have had a solid year of over performing precipitation events. But, it is disconcerting to see that being shown to such an extreme. It is just Tuesday and I will take having the Euro on our sides. But, if we get deluged with 70 inches of rain all year and then get an under performing snowstorm that hammers everyone else, annoyed would not be a strong enough word. So, anyway, there is still a long way to go. There will be a thousand changes, but just something else to watch.

I agree with those thoughts !

This matches up perfectly with the radar totals. This IS one of those instances where the Asheville valley shelter is doing it's work. That is not held true with several winter events, but has definitely held true here. That is a lot of rain for you!!

Perfect!!!! Thanks much.

Hey downeast, could you slide that Euro map over to the Tennessee border so I can see Asheville.

My wife can tell you that I ALWAYS know when I am being a baby,lol.

Lol. I said it. I should clarify. I am ready for spring if it is going to skip over my city and snow everywhere but here. If that be the case, come on spring. But, your point is still valid.

Then we can set up for 49 and rain in awful April and 39 and rain in miserable May.

I will throw this into banter. My meteostar gfs 16 day output high temp for the 15th- 69 degrees. Not the best way to run a fab feb.

Ha! That's the truth.

How come North Dakota doesn't get too cold for snow....... Snow. Widespread blowing snow. Low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -35. Windy, with a north northwest wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible

Too cold to snow here, just here, lol. Jim Cantore 1 hr · I’m sure it’s more often than I think, but how often do we see (outside the mountains) synoptic scale snow with below zero temps? Several observations from ND, SD, IA and MN have this. Obviously very high snow:liquid ratios

Going to need all this cold just to get Asheville, Charlotte, and Greenville, SC below normal for the month. Actually, Greenville, SC and Asheville will make it. Charlotte won't make it.

You look just as flawless without the photo shop. People look too good on here for me to even post my picture!

You always take a great picture !!!

Very pretty. (picture )

I'm late to the party, but for what it's worth, I think you look very nice!