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buckeye

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Everything posted by buckeye

  1. Also they can shelve the Indian Ocean Dipole that was the new hot term back in Fall and was a factor in the bullish winter forecasts for the OV. I agree with you on analogs....they are a joke, I'm not sure why so many mets use them. Chaos factor alone pretty much guarantees that seasonal analog forecasts will fail. This year the AO and the EPO ruled. A relentless positive AO and EPO are the kiss of death...period. EPO probably having more weight than the AO. It seemed everytime the EPO went negative we went cold.
  2. Shout out to JB and the gang at WxBell! Nice work!
  3. One of the most frustrating things about this winter, (and granted there have been many), is the fact that we've had several perfect snowstorm tracks for Ohio but there was just no cold air available to keep it snow. Instead of HP to our north, Canada continually gets flooded with low pressure and pacific air....it has been the story all winter. I say this as I look at the models next week....both the gfs and the euro essentially showing 1 or 2 app runners with rain.
  4. I know you've experienced less snow....I believe the year that CMH only got 9" was like '15-'16, (I think). Also lest we forget 11-12. But I do agree that this is by far the most boring winter, weatherwise that I can recall...possibly even back in the early to mid 70's living outside Philly. At least in 11-12 we had the Morch, plus I was in Hawaii most of January that winter so I didn't really care what was happening here. But this winter, with it's endless stretches of upper 30's to lower 50's by day, very little sun, virtually nothing to track, (not even fantasy storms), has been the perfect backdrop for the profoundly depressed. If there's such thing as karma in the weather world.... Jan/Feb 1978 redux should be in the cards very soon. A weenie can dream.
  5. cool, did the manager give you the day off?
  6. those were the days sonny....rekon that globular warning nonsense is to blame
  7. give me 2008 or 2012.... if you ain't gonna bury me....torch me.
  8. Our first snow cover actually survived the rain. Snowing nicely again. At least we'll go into the next couple cold days with a snow cover. No idea what the totals will be from this when all is said and done....but probably 2-4 and very localized.
  9. Picturesque snow. Since its wet it sticks to every little branch out there. Shame it's going to switch over eventually, would have been nice to have a day or two with a decent snow cover.
  10. Still all snow....thought I better take this while it is.
  11. Actually looks like the beginning an ole fashioned snowstorm out there. I'll just take it one minute at a time.
  12. I can put my right foot in the snow and my left foot in a puddle
  13. I f***ing knew it... we knew this was coming. Just in time for March when we finally look to Spring and want to put this garbage winter behind us.
  14. No man's land....otoh, if trends continue that white stripe might be the sweet spot
  15. well, looks like euro (WB) came in with 2-5 across Franklin county, topping out with a 6" axis from just north of Dayton to CLE. It also looks to get a bit sleety here too at times. The usual caveat, if we do get a further south event, it's probably weaker with less snow. Still, a 2-4 incher would be the big dog of the season
  16. Well, either way, like I've said before it's kinda silly. Latitude is latitude....nothing anyone can do anything about. Sports is where you can start using excuses.
  17. I said consistent....so obviously I was referring to badger football
  18. that's right....I wouldn't be surprised if Knox county scores on this. Hell, it might even be as close as the northern half of Delaware county. I guess I could always do a 20 min chase
  19. Our best hope is with a front end thump.... our miracle Hail Mary would be just enough dynamic cooling with significant precip rates to get some respectable slop...and that's a Hail Mary. I can't recall what winter, I think it was 13-14, but the day leading up to an overnight event, all the models kept the rain snow line about 20 miles north of the city. When the snow wall hit it stayed snow and we picked up like 8-10" overnight, even places further south did well. Granted that was a different set up and a different time....long long ago lol.. .but the incredibly tight rain/snow line being modeled just north of us reminds me of that. I'm withJay /\ though, ready to move on while expecting the usual crapfest. At least we were never really in the game, so at least it can't disappoint. BTW, where's Angry? He might do pretty good with this, isn't he around Findlay?
  20. Hmmm, it's not like we've been scoring with snow this year. Must be butthurt over the consistent manhandling of the Badgers by the Buckeyes.
  21. the only good thing is it doesn't appear to be a 'big dog' for anyone, even where the axis of heaviest is, it's a moderate event. After that it's cold for a couple days and then the rain/snow line moves even further north taking out a lot of the sub. Sorry I know it's petty, but it's hard not to be in the misery loves company camp when all you've had is misery.... #bring_on_the_torch
  22. A low pressure near Bluefield WV is a classic Ohio river to Columbus crush job. Instead the rain/snow line is over Findlay. It's a new world folks.
  23. of course.... I knew any model showing anything substantial say south of I-30 was gonna be a head fake. Not to sound like a broken record but the teleconnections absolutely suck on every possible measure. In fact, even those north of i-80 should be counting their blessings if they are able to thread the needle and pull a snowstorm out of this garbage pattern....once again the lucky get luckier. I pretty much found my peace with all of this last week whent the epo went back positive for as far as the model goes out...that was the final blow. Now what I look forward to is that first 'smell' of spring and maybe a decent severe season.
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