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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Hoping tomorrow pans out here. Sat seems to keep trending more south and weaker each run. At least on gfs.
  2. Live and die by hrrr. Usually dont give it any credibility till day of event Clippers are a nightmare to forecast. Seems like a lot of last second shifts with these. Also could be a relatively narrow corridor of frontogenic banding with areas outside getting more of a pixie dust snow. Definitely not spread the wealth. Sat has a little bit better coverage.
  3. And cams ended up being right. 18z nam more south than hrrr but more north of globals. So might be a good compromise. Hrrr definitely the most north. But would be par for course to get missed north Thurs and missed south Sat.
  4. If hrrr is right N IL scores again and I will be on southern edge. Cams definitely more north and globals more south. Crazy how much variability there still is the day before.
  5. Im sure it will find a way to shift north or south of me still. The dome is strong. Ha. I feel most optimistic about Thurs. Sat I feel might end up even more south unfortunately. 12z gfs has me on northern edge. We shall see. Definitely a notable south trend.
  6. Probably going to see a lot of north and south wobbles. I dont like where I sit currently. Cutoff will be sharp and frontogenic bands always end up narrower than expected with brutal cutoff on either side.
  7. Well pattern lately been favoring north shifts and generally I80 north so maybe not. We shall see. Wish I could lock in gfs. Ha
  8. Big double thumbs down on this. I kind of hate nw flow. Because I feel these tend to setup up north of here. Just cold and dry makes me wanna
  9. Was feeling good about that system but now 18z nam shifted way north
  10. Going to be another winter with I80 north crew constantly cashing in while us south barely miss out. Noticing all these nw systems bullseye me then shift north as we get closer. Bring back the south shift.
  11. If it stalls south of you, you are really going to see some good rates and big flakes from those nice reflectivities crossing the mixing line into the snow.
  12. Per CC, mixing line really pushing north towards DVN
  13. Sleet/freezing rain/snow mixture here. Gunna b buried
  14. It has compacted so much here hard to tell. I'm right by Alta and saw a 6in report there. I did just notice that cutoff for that was just before 5. We still had some more snow after then. Not much but some. Definitely curious to see an updated map once more totals come in. But still guessing there will be lower totals in this area. We didn't get much from overnight and snow this morning was not of good quality. Wasn't till banding moved in and finally got some bigger flakes.
  15. This is comical. Guess who is in middle of that big dropout in totals? Me. Largely missed a lot of the banding and convective snow south and up north got into the waa snow more than here last night. This is better than anything last winter but when your expectations are for bigger totals, color me disappointed with this one.
  16. Snow going to be ending within next hr or so here. Hours ahead of schedule. Idt I been so disappointed in a storm in a long time. Especially when all the models and nws were forecasting big totals. Congrats to all that scored big.
  17. Snow looks like it's going to end early here at least. This definitely was an underperformer for me. Was supposed to get 8-12in. Idk if I will even hit that range. Snow quality was a killer early on then all this good banding really hammered I72 south of me. Looking at radar the system seems to be moving very fast.
  18. Springfield getting demolished by very heavy snow and some thunder. I72 going to end up being a jackpot zone. I was not expecting that.
  19. That was my issue through the morning. Very poor flake quality. Like pixie dust. Finally getting quality snow now. Thinking I may be on lower end of what was forecasted here though. Kind of feel like precip may move out sooner than forecasted.
  20. Yeah that dry pocket worries me a bit. My snow im in is on eastern fringes of that. Hoping it doesn't creep east and hoping it fills in more. Flake size has been pretty small so far.
  21. Im a little concerned about this dry slot in northern MO. All that heavy precip by STL seems like it may skirt south of me. Hrrr suggests things will fill in later. We shall see
  22. I hope the radar really blossoms and fills in like models are suggesting. Trough seems to be approaching western NE. Isentropric lift should start increasing next few hours.
  23. Watch it be right. Lol. I hope this precip shield fills in south like hrrr shows later. Right now main waa band setting up pretty north in Iowa. Always nail biting watching these evolve.
  24. 18z wasn't as nice on nam's as it was on 12z for here. Im so close to being in that jackpot zone. Still will be a solid storm and will beat anything I got last year by a long shot. But man a slight shift south would be nice. Ha
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