nwohweather

76 currently here in Summerville with a nice breeze! Love it

I started hammering this underperforming hard yesterday as we moved into the short range. I also have acknowledged that I didn't expect the precipitation to drop off that much. Again everyone seemed super bullish on what is a 1000 mb low fading as it passes through the region. That doesn't instill confidence at all.

This is the problem with most of this thread. It’s been obvious for days that this thing was going to shear apart as it traveled east & with each day the models continued to show a weaker storm once the low pressure center moved into the Ohio Valley. Combine that with mixing issues as the column saturates & questions over the amount of ice aloft always led me to doubt snowfall totals that were shown on the models. This was always going to be a 4-8” storm in the main swath for IL/IN/MI. I am a little let down at how bad this has trended for the Toledo area, 2-4” is disappointing to say the least. KS/MO/IA look to be in for a heck of a Plains event though

1-2” for Toledo seems real low

Man local Toledo mets have completely thrown the towel in on this

Loving this forecast for next week. Definitely have a shot at 80 on Tuesday, love it for January

Snow wise yes. Doesn’t make sense for severe weather though, both Lakes & Ohio Valley often face the same outbreaks. Don’t get me wrong, I like tracking snowstorms, but for some of us it’s tornadoes & derechos that are the real thrill

I agree with that. But I’d throw Illinois in there as well with IN/MI/OH. Rooting for all though lol don’t think I’m completely pessimistic. Stronger this storm is, the more warmth I get. Looks like I’ll make a run at 80 on Tuesday

The slower this exits, the more the defo band weakens. Combine that with a mid level dry slot & a weakening storm as it moves East, you have an underperformer. You’re a pro, you should know this man

It’s so obvious how snow starved weather fans are up there. I feel for ya lol, but far too many bullish comments on this on a storm likely to underperform.

As someone who loves history & weather, this is the thing that fascinated me with the 1918-19 pandemic. Once herd immunity was reached it almost completely stopped on a dime as it mutated weaker according to experts. I'm sure the real number is much higher than 25 million cases so a combination of that & vaccines will probably lead to a sharp decline in the coming months

Nice to see the models becoming more realistic with a SW/NE tilt to the snow swath. 4-8" is the solid call for NW Ohio/SE Michigan with higher amounts possible to the west, but certainly expect this one to underperform. Weakening system on approach with mixing issues as the column saturates will make this more of a 4-6" in all likelihood.

This thing really falls apart once it moves into Eastern standard time eh? Wouldn’t be shocked to see some places in Ohio get robbed on snow. Looks good for IA/IL

It's one model guy.

Have to admit, looks like a solid setup for the area. Solid high to the north, a low pressure that's not too strong & and no severe weather off to the South expected that could rob it of moisture. Amateur opinion would have to be Northern IN/IL get 6-10", 4-8" for Toledo area & 3-6" for Detroit. Does seem to lose a bit of steam on Tuesday morning which could hurt moisture a bit but I think 6" is a solid call for Toledo.

Hahaha has he never heard of an Alberta Clipper before?

Haha the cut off is so sharp in NW Ohio. I’d be shocked if the southern cutoff doesn’t move to the turnpike/south suburbs of Toledo. Always seems to once we get inside 72 hours as the snow axis typically takes a SW/NE tilt as the event approaches. Odd to see a pure E-W snow map

I’ve worn one since March and plan to until vaccinated. I think we’re seeing as a society the side effects now if prolonged isolation. Deaths are off the charts and no one seems to care. Hard to honestly when you’re not interacting with the world much.

Unreal model run on the Euro showing a ridge building a week out from today. Widespread 70s from Texas to South Carolina. Have to admit I’m torn, on one hand I’m loving these wide open golf courses, on the other hand it’d be awesome to wear shorts again

I thought it worked the other way. All us Ohioans move here

Agreed. The weather is only truly interesting here March-April and watching hurricanes. The temperature swings are wild as well as the threat of tornadoes

Wild to see now back to back snowstorms in South while this area remains quiet. Current models showing Texas thru Mississippi getting noticeable snowfall with the next one

I get it, but at the same time the only true preventable measure is to not see your grandparents until this is over, only go to work or school, do not shop other than for essentials, and no friends or family until this is over. To me that is absolutely wild. You can consider it selfish, but I refuse to live in total isolation until this is over. Now I’m not being a dumb MAGA, hoaxer about it, but at the same time I’m not afraid of eating out or hanging out with friends either. If that’s selfish then so be it, but having to work from home is already pretty tough isolation wise. Anymore I think would be overwhelming mentally

The moisture on the models always seemed to outpace the cold air. Combine that with the daylight, and you’re going to have problems. At the end of the day this was always supposed to be a more convective Friday night event than stratiform snow like what is typically seen in Northern states. I’d expect some places to absolutely score tonight, but never was overly optimistic for anywhere east of 321 and south of I-40

Have a buddy that lives there. Pays $450 a month more than I and I’m 20 mins from the ocean lol