A good bit of CIN in place I think keeping a lid on things. Energy, shear and helicity are all through the roof. All could easily support a violent tornado, we’ll see if the Emporia one could break thru
Really well said. Vilonia and Mayfield are two obvious situations of a likely EF5 in my opinion. Mayfield probably had the most airborne debris signatures I’ve ever seen, and a track of almost 200 miles. How a mesocyclone that sustaining wasn’t an EF5 is beyond me
Just incredible weather, loving every bit of this before the front comes through. It's doing wonders for fishing around here with some anglers hitting walleye limits in 45 minutes
Used to live in the Carolinas. Tbh the problem is that’s arguably some of the best weather in the country, so inclement events aren’t as routine as they are in the Midwest and Plains where you routinely track snowstorms and severe weather. I say add them as they’re in the Central time zone
It’s why conditions matter. On a slight risk day you might be able to get away with it (I never would) where parameters aren’t as violent, but on a day like today!? You have to assume everything will turn strong/violent. It’s amazing how fast development occurs in person
Have to be a little concerned that the amount of forcing aloft will create too many storms and hurt tornado chances. A lot rides on that EML plume putting in the right amount of capping for tomorrow. I will say once that QLCS comes together it should be going toll road speeds across the region. Also could see some rather large hail for the region as well. Definitely looks like a wild Midwest day to say the least