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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. nwohweather
    Why wouldn’t you expect it to trend NW over time? It’s a strong, deepening low that wants to go poleward. The sampling that has been done IMO has allowed the models to produce a more realistic solution. I’m still concerned about the dry air intrusion in that second window, would not be shocked at all to see QPF impacted from the possible MDT risk event occurring in the Gulf Coast region
  2. nwohweather
    Sheesh. The US-24 special here. This solution occurs, I’m stuck in my house for a week
  3. nwohweather
    I don’t recall if I’ve ever seen a 60+ mb gradient in my life quite like that. 1045 MB high in WCAN and a 970 MB low rushing through the GL is prolific. The thing that made ‘78 so special was that the arctic jet was basically brought down to the surface, wind gusts topped 100 mph over Lake Erie with sustained winds topping out at 80 in Cleveland
  4. nwohweather
    I do think though pure climo is against anyone east of Chicago and Milwaukee getting a solid snow. This is a pretty damn strong low without anything to really keep it from cutting poleward as it bombs out
  5. nwohweather
    As much as I’ve grown fond of warm, mild weather from years in the South, it’s been 5 years since I’ve seen a snowstorm of any kind. This would be cool to watch
  6. nwohweather
    Damn that's a beast of a storm, but the track is a tad unbelievable at the moment. Arkansas-Indy-Toledo on a storm bombing out? If it really enters the lower GL at around 975 MB then I'd expect more of a South Bend-Lansing low track
  7. nwohweather
    Heck of a system on there, not often you see sub 980 mb rolling thru the GL. Concerned about the severe side of things robbing this one of moisture on the backside, with the 540 line digging all the way to the GOM and FL I'd expect some serious convection on the southern end of this.
  8. nwohweather
    I cannot get over how little cold air there is on the backside of some pretty dynamic systems here in the upcoming days. Is it really that hard to get a high pressure on the backside of either of these events like normal to create a legitimate swath of snow?
  9. nwohweather
    You can tell the pattern is ready to flip in a thunderous way. Mid January should be rocking
  10. nwohweather
    Unreal to see. Pretty nasty sea fog east of Toledo tonight. Perfect visibility here in Perrysburg, by the time I was around Oak Harbor stop lights were hard to see
  11. nwohweather
    Glad to see it still snows somewhere around here
  12. nwohweather
    That's how it was while I lived in Charleston. Played an unreal amount of golf through the winter months down there because of how dry it was, greens were excellent to put on
  13. nwohweather
    Quite a stormy pattern taking place down there, might even be able to go ENH tomorrow for Central FL. How often do you get 1040 MB highs in mid December with temps in low 50's here?
  14. nwohweather
    Picture of Milwaukee in 2060
  15. nwohweather
    Maybe for you, I'm with @hardypalmguysince living in the South for years. Give me 45 & sunny every day of the winter if I'm not going to get blizzard conditions or pond hockey consistency of cold
  16. nwohweather
    In all seriousness a strong El Nino typically leads to this type of pattern. Look at how wet it's been over the South in the past few weeks. At this point I expect our golf courses to be open into Christmas around here, I've even noticed some longer than usual grass in our yard
  17. nwohweather
    Big fan. #Team50°+
  18. nwohweather
    Isn't that around 12,000 feet in elevation?
  19. nwohweather
    Mildly off topic but did the Mayfield, KY tornado ever get re-evaluated? How that was below an EF5 is beyond me
  20. nwohweather
    I’m more concerned with the fact that a certain type of storm system that usually brings a very cool airmass behind it completely lacked one. Not a great sign
  21. nwohweather
    Because it didn't bring much cold air with it
  22. nwohweather
    It's December and in the words of Horace Greeley, "Go west young man". While Toledo has certainly cashed in before on early season storms, looking at the maps @Chinookhas on his website of past snowstorms the one common thread has been an airmass where temps are 10 degrees and below with a Miller C type track. Those two things happen and there's definitely a chance
  23. nwohweather
    Yikes, a rainy clipper in December. Not a good sign for snow this year in the Lower GL
  24. nwohweather
    Pretty much a blizzard on the models at this time. A 980 MB low with a 1020 MB high right above it? Could have a serious mid December storm here, with maybe even a nice severe event to the south and east to boot
  25. nwohweather
    Nice little shot for mid Michigan here tomorrow. I'd bet on cementitious 1-3" north of the Detroit burbs
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