nwohweather

IWX is projecting it to go due east into Ohio. Not sure how much I buy that based on the winds but we will see

Sheesh. No wonder they just tornado warned the whole line

Heck of a complex this morning. I go to my office at 7 am, I can’t remember ever having back to back days with a severe thunderstorm warning when leaving the house

Some very heavy borderline severe boomers this morning here. Putting down an awfully nice boundary for later today

HRRR has it almost completely fizzling out over the lake. I guess we’ll see, not very muggy here at all

I saw a notch or hook with a discrete cell there and zipped to find tor warn in a densely pop. spots! Came on here for this. Pretty sure a tornado just went from Milton to Oakville. As you know that’s a very heavily populated area

The AQI in Toledo, OH right now is 405! Cannot even see the city from the bridge

The gust front was insane. We were golfing by the lake yesterday and we’re approaching the green on 9. RadarScope showed the storms were roughly 10 miles out and looking to the west it looked like God took a massive leaf blower to the bunkers! We were putting easily in gale force winds and had to keep our sunglasses on due to the amount of dust. Coming back home you could visibly see the dust cloud to the east, just an insane amount of wind ahead of the line. Reminded me quite a bit of when sea breeze thunderstorms would hit in South Carolina, whenever you have those 90°/70°+ days it seems the outflow is amplified to the max. It flipped on a dime though, we had perfect conditions on 8

Bad day for the IWX radar to be down

That wind and heat dried things out pretty well in the afternoon relatively from that early morning due of 77°

Currently 90°/77° at my house. I haven’t seen these readings since moving back from living down South. Impressed

Looks like Toledo is going to graze 100° on Wednesday and Thursday

Of THE super outbreak

What a strange year. Feels like I moved to Traverse City, MI or something

Bingo. Without the MCS we probably have a Palm Sunday level outbreak

Bingo. Looks like a complete bust in all honesty, the whole area of clearing is already filling in with convection. I’ve seen the subway less packed than IL/MO

Possibly. HRRR if you go with it would be essentially a moderate cancel. I’d downgrade if I were the SPC at this time

Possibly. HRRR if you go with it would be essentially a moderate cancel. I’d downgrade if I were the SPC at this time

Between this and the lakes that warm front is definitely getting shunted to the south

Wouldn’t be shocked if crapvection & the lakes hold this thing south. Not only that but with so much forcing storm crowding may also put a lid on tomorrow. Pretty pessimistic despite insane numbers

Nice tornado approaching Ft Wayne

One thing to notice, dews are surging ahead of the line as the LLJ kicks in. Up to 72° in Ft Wayne right now. Going to be a dicey night for sure

That newer to cell to the south looks ready to drop the next big one

If I’m not mistaken the forecast models were showing ample LLJ strengthening this evening

That’s a big tornado as well in a not great radar position. Probably a monster in there