Jump to content

AppsRunner

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,420

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by AppsRunner

  1. AppsRunner
    Still in the “I don’t know” section, but I feel decent about picking up 3” or so. Still a county away from blizzard warnings
  2. AppsRunner
    Wait and see mode here. Any small trend could mean 0” or 6-10” here so we’ll just have to hope for something fun
  3. AppsRunner
    Models today have trended weaker/slower/southeast. Doesn’t look to be the huge blizzard potential anymore and slightly lower totals. Still interested in what happens here
  4. AppsRunner
    Haven’t looked at too many soundings but the 3kNAM does have a MAUL in the trowal and some ridiculous rates. Some of the model output seems very unrealistic. The NAM and even the Euro/GFS are forecasting nearly impossible rates. The Euro has 1” of QPF falling in 6 hours, and the NAM more. Even the GFS/FV3 have high QPF amounts in that band. It’s going to be absolutely fascinating to watch unfold. I might end up taking a drive out if its within a couple counties.
  5. AppsRunner
    A lot of people are going to get nothing from this storm other than wind. One or two people on this sub are going to get a blizzard. Do you feel lucky?
  6. AppsRunner
    Yeah so I'm going to go ahead and say that Ames is not going to see 17.3" of snow in 6 hours (and it's still snowing). But I can dream, right? Most of the models point to someone between Sioux Falls and Davenport having a lot of fun in a blizzard, but it's likely to be an extremely narrow corridor.
  7. AppsRunner
    The NAM is a fun model.
  8. AppsRunner
    We've been in light snow for a while now this morning, and have managed to make it to 4".
  9. AppsRunner
    Pitiful storm here. Roughly 3”. Like always, a last second unfavorable shift. Like always, hi res guidance was abysmal.
  10. AppsRunner
    Have about an inch with the initial band that slid north across Iowa earlier. Radar has filled in pretty well in the last hour. Nothing too heavy but still accumulating right now.
  11. AppsRunner
    Just gonna guess 6” and call it a day. Models aren’t handling the low level dry air well from run to run.
  12. AppsRunner
    How's this one? Obviously very marginal thermals below 850, but I'd favor a zone of 3-6" wherever they can hold on to snow long enough. The NAM is obviously overdone, but something like the 3km NAM doesn't seem too far fetched.
  13. AppsRunner
    Warnings for 5-9”. Trends overnight we’re pretty good. Going to be some really intense snow sometime during the morning.
  14. AppsRunner
    Watch for 5-8”. Thinking closer to 6” unless we manage good ratios. Not looking forward to the commute Wednesday.
  15. AppsRunner
    We picked up about an inch or so last night with some remnant moisture. Total in Ames close to 9.5", DSM 9.5". DMX office was the overall winner in the area with 10.5".
  16. AppsRunner
    No matter where it tracks, it seems like this is going to be a big one somewhere. The GFS seems to be on the west end of guidance, and the Canadian on the east. Should be an interesting one to track, but I wouldn't get invested until we're much closer.
  17. AppsRunner
    Remarkable turnaround in the last month or so:
  18. AppsRunner
    Looks like the storm total here is somewhere between 8-8.5". More than doubles the previous season-high.
  19. AppsRunner
    Looks like another good event for Iowa. Kinda similar today with a heavy burst for a few hours. Havent looked too far in depth but the NAM soundings were even better than today with a deeper DGZ and better lift throughout. DMX already going with 4-6”
  20. AppsRunner
    Woke up to very large dendrites falling. Someone at ISU measured 6” about an hour ago. Think we’ll probably pick up at least another inch based off radar.
  21. AppsRunner
    Snow should be starting here fairly soon. DSM down to 1/2 mile. Things still look good here for 4-8”. Hopefully I can reach 6”
  22. AppsRunner
    I'll set the over/under for 6.0" here. It's not going to be overly impressive snow growth but the DGZ is pretty deep for the first 12 hours with modest lift throughout. Based on how "fluffy" the last event was, I'd expect something fairly similar again (but with more QPF).
  23. AppsRunner
    Hard to see how this goes poorly here. P&C up to 5-9”
  24. AppsRunner
    Because BUF issues for the entire county, which includes 8NNW Redfield. Don't blame the folks at BUF
  25. AppsRunner
    Looks pretty good out here for now. Won't be a huge storm by any means but hoping to eclipse the 4" mark this time.
×
×
  • Create New...