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AppsRunner

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by AppsRunner

  1. A few strikes on the oswego campus the last couple hours. I’m sure they’re having fun.
  2. Other than the January 9-12 system, I can't recall any other storms trending northwest in the final 24-48 hours. It's been odd.
  3. Final total here about 3-3.5". Still have yet to eclipse 4" from an event.
  4. -SN started about 30 minutes ago, we're probably down to moderate SN with about a 1/2 to 3/4 SM visibility. Really good dendrites to start the event off.
  5. At least some slight improvements on the west end in the latest RAP/HRRR runs. Cyclone needs to turn up his magnet to a higher setting this time around.
  6. We know what you're gonna end up with Trying to break my event high of 4" with this storm.
  7. Nothing like your 100 mile east shift with the QPF on the euro 24 hours before precip arrives.
  8. It seems like this is every storm here in Iowa this winter. I have no doubts you'll pull out 6" or so somehow
  9. Pretty good agreement between the UKMET/GEM/ECM across Iowa into E MN/W WI with a swath of 0.5-1.25" of QPF stretching from southwest Iowa up to La Crosse or so. Seems if any storm is going to be the big one of the season for DSM/LSE it'd be this one.
  10. Must've stolen some of your luck. Somewhere around 3.5" or so here. DMX had 4.5" at their office. Really nice dendrites this morning during the good rates this morning.
  11. The NAM has repeatedly been underdoing precip in its long range, I have little faith in its solution outside 48 hours. Meanwhile the GFS/GEM are largely similar to previous runs
  12. That's two events using Kuchera method on a model that's been wetter than most other guidance.
  13. The FV-3 is spitting out ridiculous QPF amounts for the next two systems. It has over a half inch of liquid for the weekend threat and 1.5"+ for the Tuesday storm. Seems a bit far fetched.
  14. Figured it's worth starting a thread as we're now within a week. Good support for a storm somewhere in the subforum early next week. Euro/GFS/FV3 all point to a potentially significant winter storm, and the euro ensembles have some strong solutions going from the OK panhandle to as far west as MSP and as far east as BUF.
  15. We've picked up a glaze of ice and a trace of sleet so far, but it's still icy. Round two is looking like it could be a heavy burst of snow tomorrow morning/afternoon across Iowa, though the NAM isn't fully onboard yet. The rest of the models look good to at least get the grass white again.
  16. What? The campus got a couple inches. Where did you see a foot?
  17. Band still drifting/pivoting south, and still quite intense. Lake Ontario never disappoints in terms of actual snowfall rates.
  18. Watertown picked up another 7.4” in the last two hours, CoCoRaHS says just under 3 feet now as a total. Finally shifting south
  19. KART picked up 0.13" liquid equivalent last hour. The two hours when they got about 3.5"/hr. were 0.07 and 0.09". I'm still not seeing any significant movement in satellite upstream at the moment and there seems to be an excellent convergence zone right over Watertown. @WxWatcher007 I would fully expect this continue for at least another hour or so before things gradually shift.
  20. CoCoRaHS and another Spotter in Watertown reporting 3.6"/hr. and 7.1" the last two hours.
  21. Because Pulaski/Sandy Creek/Redfield are going to get warning criteria snow tonight, and they are in Oswego county.
  22. I've been trying to tell you Redfield/Tug Hill folks over and over again that your snow is still on track. Should have a good portion of tonight/tomorrow to pick up accumulations.
  23. I think what's most impressive is how well the KART ASOS is picking up liquid. 0.09" last hour and 0.07" this hour. Even on a conservative 20:1 ratio that's about 2"/hr. Chances are it's closer to 3-4" now.
  24. My two friends chasing say they can't even see a thing out the car window. Sitting I-81 at Route 3 in W Watertown. @WxWatcher007 how much fun are you having?
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