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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Ehh.. euro gives us 4-8” or so. Not exactly locked in given the spread between models and the differences in 500mb evolution
  2. My buddy outside of buffalo said they have snowflakes the size of golf balls falling right now with 3-4” per hour rates. Nearly 10” fell within just a few hours. Will easily surpass 20” up that way. I wouldn’t be shocked to see a 24+“ report between buffalo and Niagara Falls by the afternoon
  3. What a storm! Warning level snow to very heavy sleet and then heavy ZR. LOVE it.
  4. Man… that line moved like a bat out of hell over the past hour
  5. Nah. Lol. Mix line is barely to your SE. you’ll be sleet in under 30 min
  6. Yessir! We’re still hangin’ on for now. 8 pm is my guess for our latitude for a changeover. Been a great last 3 hours though
  7. Still seeing heavy snow up this way but if you’re mixing in Urbana, I expect pingers by 8 pm by me
  8. My brother said it’s about 50-50 snow/sleet in OEC. Sleet in Columbia. Pingers imminent for sure. 70 acts as a bit of a barrier with increased elevation north of it, but Expecting snow until about 8 here before we flip as well.
  9. That’s how forecasting typically goes for our CWA my friend. They upgrade / downgrade totals mid storm during almost every storm. Makes sense given how on the cusp we typically are. I do agree though - where they cut off the eastern London line is a bit silly
  10. When it begins pounding with giant flakes, the mix line isn’t far behind sadly. Same thing occurred further south. I expect another hour of snow up your way
  11. Incorrect. 2-4” with up to 6” lollies which is spot on
  12. I mean.. your advisory is for 2-4” and then mixed precip. Looks like it verified unless you flip back to snow.
  13. Couple miles off then. Mix line is pretty close to leesburg on that radar - and it was snapped about 10 min ago
  14. This Radar looks spot on as far as the mix line is concerned. Rapidly moving north but also getting stonewalled east of the BR
  15. Should be able to verify our warning before the flip. That line is finally starting to march quickly now
  16. Think it’s likely an initial thump of fatties before a quick changeover based on OBS
  17. NAM already busted lmao HEAVY cold smoke - 22 degrees
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