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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. We’ve been under a steady moderate snow here for a while now. A lot of the heaviest moisture is to my south and east, drying up some of the moisture as bands move up this way. Expecting the area of best lift to continue to march NE over the coming hours. Meso analysis sounds pretty spot on. 7a-10am should be prime time for the Baltimore metro. Could see 4-6” in that small window 32* snow - Ellicott city
  2. Big facts! Hoping we’re able to squeeze one or two of those ideal setups in during this niña winter.
  3. Charlottesville? Radar looks JUICED there right now.
  4. Just goes to show how much timing means with weather. We don’t need the trifecta +PNA -AO -NAO setup to score
  5. Whichever areas can stay all snow JUST Nw of the r/s line in Virginia and E MD / DE are going to get hammered. Usually can find the heaviest precip near the fall line. Looks like Charlottesville over to culpelper are currently in this zone. Nice band moving into Manassas as well
  6. Good eye. Let’s see if it translates to anything (More expansive shield northward or heavier qpf)
  7. Have to imagine there’s some thunder associated with that band SW of dc
  8. morristown TN - an area that was 60+ degrees with severe thunderstorms warnings earlier today now reporting 2+“ of snow with heavy snow falling. Amazing
  9. My buddy in Annapolis said it’s snowing hard out there
  10. Wild. It stuck almost immediately here to the usual colder surfaces.
  11. Definitely see that based on latest trends. Someone out your way into Delaware and southern jersey is going to jackpot above 12”. 2-3” per hour rates coming for that area. Going to be some sweet mesos forming east of dc later on this morning If this wasn’t such a quick mover, I’d say 12” was possible area wide bear i-95. Shame but it will be a fun morning nonetheless.
  12. A thing of beauty. Hard to imagine the precip shield falling apart. Should get slugged between 7a-1p
  13. Haven’t seen .3-.4 worth of qpf here in Ellicott city at least. It rained fairly lightly over the last few hours. Many models accounted for this period of rain / slop Idk. I’m looking at a radar in which the SW edge of precip is back in Atlanta and we are already all snow. It’s fast moving but nearly all of that precip is heavy. man, if only we had something to slow this storm down
  14. I know many like to ride models til the wheels fall off, even as the storm is overhead, but I am actually excited by what I’m seeing on the radar and WV loop. Pretty classic look for a mid Atlantic I-95 special. The main precip shield, to me, seems a bit north the more I look at it. Reports of thunder snow and 6-8” of snowfall in AL, TN and NW GA. Can only bode well for us up here.
  15. Dc is about to see its best snowfall in multiple winters I reckon. Route 50 is ground zero for this bad boy
  16. You guys will somehow end up with a jackpot upslope band that drops 8” lol #climoftw
  17. As far as wasted QPF before the changeover is concerned…. We actually did alright in that department. Saw very minimal qpf in central md and the all snow line is knocking on our door step. Radar is insanely juicy to the S/SW. The issue for us is the speed of the storm. It’ll be a very quick hitter
  18. Have flipped to mostly snow under this heavier band. All snow by 5 am looks like a lock
  19. Eastern Howard had a warning up all day, but for 4-7”, not 5-10”. Southern Baltimore county, Baltimore city and southern harford were issued their first warnings however for 3-6” Interesting development with the NAM shifting a bit SE
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