jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Appreciate the love
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4” is my mark, 6 or above is gravy. These storms turn over earlier than progged, so here’s to hoping that precip comes in like a bat out of hell.
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Yep
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Post it please!
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We say that every time. However, when the track of the storm and overall setup on the NAM is nearly identical to other models but shows father north mid level warm air intrusion, it’s typically right. Sadly. Hope it’s dead wrong here.
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24.8/13.3 Pressure- 30.14 humidity: 61% wind: 0mph. Slight breeze out of the NE
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Anybody else notice 18z initializations versus ground reality are not really all that close? Rain snow line and precip shield don’t line up whatsoever with current obs. (Correct me if I’m wrong please)
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PZF updated to 6-10”! LFG! Hope snow comes in like a wall and everybody cashes in on a solid 3-6” before we even mention the word “mix”
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Radar looking pretty solid so far down south. Just south of Little Rock (pine bluff area) is seeing 2” per hour snowfall as I write this
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I think there’s a solid chance your area busts on the positive side like last storm. Boom chance on the front end is quite high just west of 95 where the initial thump will have plenty of cold air to work with and QPF is greatest. Hope it all works out ! HRRR and other short terms were the first to sniff out the potential last go around within 24 hours of onset
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31.8 / 12.4 NNE wind 1 mph Pressure - 30.12 Humidity: 45%
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And this is why snowfall maps from individual model runs are literally pointless.
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Ok. I respect your opinion. I’ll leave it at that. I don’t get personal over weather, sorry.
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I don’t disagree. I guess, to me, that 3-6 and ice isn’t exactly terrible either for a storm that was supposed to cut west of us less than 90 hours ago
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WSW for 4-8” and up to a 0.25”. Yes please. Anybody who calls that a “disaster” is a dang fool.
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Oh, hell yes. Definitely fear it’s a bit overdone with its somewhat cold bias in the mid levels (not as good at catching warming at 700 as mesos like the NAM are) but a solid overall look. Thinking 4-6” for Baltimore before a sloppy mess
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Yeah dude. The SV map counts sleet/ice as snow. QPF is higher down that way and it counts sleet/ZR as snow - hence the higher totals depicted. Those SV maps are useless.
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One is the euro. One is the 3K NAM….
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How’s the Good For Snow looking this eve?
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What a disaster. Too much blue in Loudoun Lol so 4-6” instead of rain you were expecting a few days ago is a disaster? Why must you always ruin it lol
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Check out the trend in low positions (Ohio valley low and coastal). Money.
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You mean… we shouldn’t be living or dying via verbatim clown maps models put out? Crazy concept man.
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Makes sense. The back end of the storm is still outside of NAM’s wheelhouse. Should be in better shape by 0z
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Woof. That’s a hell of a cut off as shown on the NAM. Certainly a better look with that hot pink running through my house, but not great for I-95 and the metros. Good news is that guidance has been trending colder / snowier and not Vice versa leading up the storm, so there’s still plenty of time to kick the fall line SE another few ticks.
