NAM is definitely a rather large step in the right direction. Again, it’s at range, but also… the important shit happens inside 60 hours. Let’s see how the Gfs looks here shortly
We don’t need to see flush hits, but we definitely want to see things continue to move in our direction at 0z. The important stuff that occurs out west unfolds sub 100 hours from now. So while we have plenty of time, we also don’t have an eternity
2 feet in ocean city while we smoke cirrus. Sounds like a good spot to be 4.5 days out PSU gets those hunches and they almost always seem to play out. If the pattern is indeed reloading and that pna backs west on models over the next 24-36 hours like yesterdays storm did at the 4/5 day range… we’re in business.
This is correct. Can’t tell ya how I know (some of you in here may know what I do for a living) What I can tell you is it’s something that’s being worked on.
Yeah. Niñas are known for coastal scrapers and CAPE to Nantucket specials. But it’s also a huge over generalization to say it’ll fail because it’s a niña.