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jayyy

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About jayyy

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    Union Bridge, MD

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  1. jayyy

    Winter 2025-26

    Tony Pann posted something… interesting “No Hurricanes have made landfall in the US so far this season. And only one Tropical Storm (Chantal). Over the last 20 years, there have been 5 years with no Hurricanes making landfall: 2006, 2009, 2010, 2013, 2015. The average winter snowfall for Baltimore in the following winter: 35" Obviously this could be correlation and not causation but it’s an interesting factoid.
  2. Snow falling at work in Columbia, albeit super light
  3. You peep the long range thread? Obviously taken with a minuscule grain of salt but that was one of the most weenie gfs runs we’ve had in a long time
  4. Incase anybody needs to hear this… DO NOT set this as your bar lol
  5. Obviously the chance of a complete short term model bust is like 0.1%, but curious if anybody who’s better at reading maps sees anything of note when comparing what models show to current 500mb/h5 obs. Particularly in regards to the ULL
  6. To be fair, it almost always spits out heavy accumulations. We just happened to get them that time [emoji23]
  7. 19 degreed, heavy sun, roads brined.. go time [emoji23]
  8. People not posting clown maps 150+ hours out would go a long way.
  9. If you listen closely enough you can hear all of the nyc weenies cliff diving
  10. Jesus Christ. It’s going to be in Florida by Thursday
  11. It’s going to be souther. Reverse voodoo. NAM goes south and the others come north
  12. That’s true. We used to see positive busts back then. Happened ALL the time when I lived in New York. Problem is models have gotten way better over the past 14 years, so the likelihood is a lot lower. That being said… it’s not impossible.
  13. Less confluence though. Looked pretty good at the surface when it stopped running
  14. Alright guys… long range NAM time [emoji849]
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