weatherpruf

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

SE winds tend to do more damage since prevailing winds are out of the west-so trees tend to bend that way.  On the plus side-all the leaves are off so that will help limit downed limbs

We used to joke about that out on the deck....come on out with us in the afternoon and we'll show you a prevailing wind... a SE that will kick your ass...seen it break the windows on a 65 foot head boat. Water pouring through the cabin....

4 hours ago, guinness77 said:

I know it’s still 5 or so days away but Sunday night/Monday early morning looks like it could get nasty, especially the further east you go.  

I was just out at sea today and the captain was telling people to come out this week because Sunday was gonna be a mess.

7 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

This storm HUGGED the coast with a worse air mass than 93 and still hammered. 

That was a real dud here in CNJ....5 inches of sleet. And totally predictable, Mitch Volk was on here the night before saying that it was unlikely NYC and surroundings would see much snow. Based on March storms struggling to get over 10 inches.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

I can't wait to see all the weenies I have received once we turn cold and snow near the holidays .

We love ya. Don't ever change. But I don't really expect to need the snowblower this winter. Don't even know if it it'll start. 

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

I think January 1998 was a case of the super El Niño combined with MJO 8 which is a warm pattern for us. That’s why all the talk of the MJO getting to phase 8 and cooling things off isn’t what we would expect during an El Niño.

Pretty good match MJO 8 and El Nino

It was downright balmy and stormy. Blew my front screen door clean off when I opened it.

7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Apparently he's smoking some of what this guy smoked

 

I saw that too and laughed at it. Why would anyone pay attention to JB? Frankly, these long term forecasts remind of the guys at Bloomberg trying to predict the economy.....they're pretty good at explaining why they were wrong.....I'd throw fisheries biologists in there too but that's a little too inside baseball.....

2 hours ago, It's Always Sunny said:

Having analyzed everything I personally don't see a huge signal for any big storm or cold air outbreak this month. I think attention should be focused on January's potential given current state of the stratosphere. Synoptically, this month holds a mild pattern look.

Generally in CNJ if it doesn't snow in Dec you can write the rest of the season off. I think Jan 2016 was a rare exception, maybe Jan 2015 not sure. Of course the sample size is small but I remember reading this some 30 years ago from a Rutgers met and it seems pretty reliable.

3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

He lives in Maine 

My BIL had his plow out this morning....hates snow. Augusta area.

4 hours ago, SI Mailman said:

Delivering mail and packages in short sleeves today

Was pretty cold on the water off the Rockaways most of the day; fog and southerly breeze and overcast. Sun broke out late but not enough to save the day.

4 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I never heard this before, super interesting!

Yeah Krakatau 1883 was an absolutely enormous eruption, over 3x larger than Pinatubo 1991. The amount of particulate matter and gas dispersing around the globe in the aftermath of that eruption would’ve been immense. The skies after were immortalized in various artwork from that period (“The Scream”).  

Cool, nice find!

It was also one of the worst movies ever made. I know, my dad took me to see it when I was a kid. Don't even think you can find a copy today.

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Upton just hoisted gale warnings for coastal waters. Most exciting weather event in years!

It's going to blow most of the week. Very depressing. Mariners can't catch a break this year. Anyone planning on going out in this has to be nuts.

7 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

what result? a winter like 1997? perhaps, but favorable winters also had cold novembers. there's just as much of a chance that NYC sees 40-50" as 10" this year IMO

people weenied because of the obvious rage bait lmao

Based on what i have seen over the years, for the most part, I don't expect a lot of snow in an El Nino year.

2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

We had a couple 3 to 6" storms every winter

One or two, yes. but 86, 88, 89 I don't remember anything significant. You can count the decent storms.....2 in 1982, one in 1983, one in 1987....come to think of it, 79,80, and 81 were all lean as well. It really wasn't til late 93 that we began to see big snows again. Truthfully, if I never have to break out the snowblower again, I'm ok with that. It's just that winter weather still kinda sucks around here when it is a drizzly sulk, and it is still too cold to do anything else.

8 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Last time I plowed snow which is unbelievable but these long stretches have become more common 

I hear ya.

49 minutes ago, Picard said:

Shark fishing.............................from a kayak??

Yes. They let the shark pull them around till it gets tired, then they release it. Not allowed to keep most sharks.

22 hours ago, Tatamy said:

This would be a hurricane moving up from the NW Caribbean that hits Florida and then moves up the east coast and draws in cold air resulting in lights out for New England.  Weenie candy anyways.

Never mind that; there are some pretty big sharks feeding on those blues and bass. There are guys who kayak fish for sharks right off Coney Island. I've seen big threshers breach there myself.

On 10/25/2023 at 10:34 PM, Franklin0529 said:

Yea I was out on Monday an caught so many fish our arms were tired an went home. Some fish 40# an bigger. 

Anything you could keep? We won't go out at our age and crank til we die just to release everything. FTW, first they are too small to keep and now they are too big. We are close to just having it shut down again like the 80s. i do have a bonus tag.

19 hours ago, Allsnow said:

 

Thank you for the update. Did you see any bunker or stripers being caught? With the southwest wind you think it will be rough Saturday with the outgoing tide? 

I didn't see any bunkers in the Sound but the fish are feeding on peanut bunker; the big blues are eating the porgies, that's why they are there and not in Raritan. I don't know what the wind will be but a southwest with an outgoing would be less rough, and you'd have wind with the tide. There are plenty of reports of stripers off the coast and heading north; Sandy Hook is holding some fish. Trying to get out but the porgy fishing is so good don't wanna leave it for stripers, when you have to release most of them.....this has been some great fall weather for boating and fishing after a terrible Sept. Maybe we'll get a little of November in as well. Got out yesterday and had so many fish I was giving them away to others by 1 pm. Once again, 45 mins from NJ to City Island in them morning, 3 hours to get home, even though we got in early. But what a gorgeous afternoon! Even the Bronx was looking wonderful with the foliage, and the best is yet to come.

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Going fishing Saturday morning so i hope It hits 95 

Any day that warm this time of year is going to have strong southwest winds with it.

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Going fishing Saturday morning so i hope It hits 95 

I went out today out of City Island. Was cold so I plunked down 30 bucks at the tackle shop for a 5 dollar pair of gloves when I have about 200 in my closet, which I forgot. Sank the boat with porgies, and by noon I was shedding jackets and sweating bullets. The Sound has been hot this year, and it only takes about 45 mins to get there from NJ, however the ride home is 3 hours no matter how you slice it. Boats out of Point Pleasant and Belmar have been doing well at the edge of the Mud Hole, but you better pick a nice day ( about 15 miles out due east ). Don't bottom fish out of Atlantic Highlands, it has been terrible. Stripped clean by draggers and pot fishermen. There is one boat targeting stripers though, and doing well. My advice is play hookey and go Wed or Thursday. Always crappy weather on weekends....you needed sun glasses and sunscreen out there today. A gorgeous day, even the Bronx looked lovely.

7 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

I don't really buy that...lawyers were around in the 70's and 80's.  We've just become soft...

I worked there,I'm telling you what I saw. And I worked in more than one district. Also, employees were prone to sue when they slipped as well. Every walkway has to be cleaned. Or you are liable. Case closed. 

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

We could have this ...it was PHLs biggest snowfall of the season

We got some flurries here. Didn't snow much the rest of the season. Was probably the worst until last winter came along.

3 hours ago, MANDA said:

Snooze fest right now.  Temperatures are pleasant with chilly nights but overall the pattern at least for now is boring.

We have 3 days of bad marine conditions coming up which will be enough to impact migratory fisheries. For mariners it is not a quiet time.

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

schools close here for wet roads and slush on the grass....silly

Because one kid slipping on the school sidewalk and getting hurt will cost the school district a lot of money. I worked in schools for 31 years; our most common response to lawyers was " how much?"

3 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

93-94 was better imo. we will never see a winter like that again. I don’t think we saw the grass in Queens for most of that winter. And by winter I mean mid Dec thru early March 

 

And those Nyc schools never closed! I remember getting dismissed in one storm where the snow was up to my shins. Surprise 7 incher that went wild 

I was teaching then. Brutal.