weatherpruf

1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

I'm sorry to hear of your sister-in-law's stroke. I wish her a full recovery.

Thanks Don, she is coming along. Was a congenital thing. Can happen to anyone. 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Phl is ripping which is a good sign for us 

Indeed

1 minute ago, MANDA said:

For the most part I think this forecast is going to work out fine.  Some spots will be on low end of range and some spots close to high end.

Question if anyone sees 8" based on radar though.

My 4-6" forecast is going to work out fine for Morris county.  I am currently just a a little over 4.  Expect to finish near 6, maybe a bit more.

That swath of I95 just isn't performing right now though. Now some people said 7 pm here so we'll see. These kinds of events were typical of my childhood. Always was more north and west. I didn't care as long as I got the day off, which in Catholic schools didn't take much. We'd be closed and I'd watch the poor public schoolers trudging off in boots to a delayed opening. i didn't know yet they were having more fun in school.....

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

Heh.  The house I grew up is next to the house where he spent his last years.  

That's amazing!

Just now, Allsnow said:

Looks like a out a half inch currently on the ground 

 

we shall see what the rest of the night brings. 
 

2-4 still looks like a good call 

I'll be pleasantly surprised to see 4. NW has already got that. It's cold enough here, we just aren't getting banding. Not sure if it is getting here or not. In a way I'm glad as my wife is at the hospital visiting her sister who had a stroke. It's been tough.

Just now, Allsnow said:

Snow picking up in Philly 

Now I could be very wrong, but this just isn't looking like an event worth getting worked up over out our way. Better rip hard later.

3 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Agree. 1-4"NYC Metro. 2 miles done 1 to go.

WX/PT

1-4 is quite a spread. 1 is nothing, 4 is significant. If the forecasts are that far off, they aren't worth much.

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

Lets hope.  Going for a woods walk with the mutt and I want it snowing.  

Nothing like a walk in the snow with the mutt. I always remember Mark Twain; if you take in a stray dog and it prospers, it will remain loyal. This is the chief difference between dogs and people.......

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

It’s here 

I'm all in...getting ribbed to no end by the family who are asking where is the storm lol.

2 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

The sun is peaking through in South Amboy! Lmao

That is not good. That is usually the kiss of death. Has to be said. 

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

it was a good decision, we have slush accumulating on the grass and rooftops, but even without snow on the roads, there's a lot of large puddles and people don't drive well with wet roads either.

 

 

We dads tend to worry even if our "kids" are young adults. But the pandemic kept her cohort from learning to drive early and she was a bit delayed, so never got that comfortable and is still shakey. 

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

What is there to do in Manalapan anyway?

Ya got me.

My daughter canceled her trip to Manalapan and just looked at me and said dad, there is nothing going on out there....I look like a fool. 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Light coating in Metuchen 

 

radar showing the break coming 

My daughter is an inexperienced driver and I'm tryin to convince her not to drive to Manalapan because its going to get worse. Any break will make a liar out of me....I told. her tomorrow would be better it won't be snowing and the roads will be plowed and salted. I'm getting the side eye....

31 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

2-4 for us is a good call 

But it is still kinda lame after all the hype. Really, 2-4 is kind of a nothingburger. It'll look nice for a bit at least. Hope it's at least a but better than that. To me, anything under 5 is just a nuisance event. Can't hide my disappointment. But it's better than nothing. Some years we don't even see that.

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Going to be break for a while after this first batch of precipitation 

 

the melt downs and bust calls will be out in droves 

And they could always be right. It's how it goes. Last year we overperformed for a change in our area. We'll see. I'm salted to my wit's end out here....Menlo mall is a sheen of blue tinted road salt, which is all over my shoes....

Just started seeing some flakes mixed in and noticeably colder. Seems a bit early.

Raining in Woodbridge.

1 minute ago, winterwarlock said:

 

Its been bad...but is it right now? Seems to be supported by other models currently 

So....a storm is progged. It looks like its waffling. At some point it hones in on a moderate event. As we get closer higher totals get thrown about. As showtime arrives, things don't go quite as planned and totals get cut back. Stop me if you have heard this before. 

1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

Didn't notice anyone having posted the NWS maps, so posting them below along with the map of warnings/advisories.  Didn't do too badly last night, especially with the prediction on the NWS increasing snowfall amounts at 4 am.  Have fun kids - and make sure you shovel by the end of the storm if you get wetter/slushier snow, because that stuff will freeze solid overnight and will be there all week.  

Thanks for posting. Seems to be tak of lesser amounts today but I don't see a real change. looks like a typical snow event to me. Someone is bound to get a little more or less. But I think around 4-5 is a good call. Someone I saw somewhere had a graphic from the midwest; storms are categorized as to how many milks, breads, or eggs you need to hoard...

Question for anyone; whenever I go to this site on my phone, I get a Tapatalk popup that I cannot get rid of, and hence cannot follow the site from a phone. Anyone who has any ideas how to rid myself of this? Showed it to my techie nephew and he was clueless.

21 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

We have seen it before when a storm develops later than progged...

" it will come down to nowcasting" I joked several days ago....

7 hours ago, nightknights said:

Or why is there a state of emergency for a minor snow event

Have you seen the way people drive anymore? Anything is a state of emergency these days. Stopped into a Wegman's ( a store I don't like by the way; overpriced, always low stock ) and the milks shelves were bare; worse, you could see stacks of it in storage but they wouldn't put it out because it was after 9 pm.

8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

I think one will end up south. Monmouth county surprise jackpot over to Suffolk as the low pulls away 

Hah, we already know where that will be should it set up; I'd guess around northern Middlesex Co.

23 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

so after all that Long Island is gonna get more than anybody now?

Probably be somewhere around Freehold.