weatherpruf

16 minutes ago, rclab said:

Good morning WIN. I go back to the 50’s and 60’s. A heavy snow warning was given for an anticipated 4 inches of snow. Early TV forecasts by Dave Garroway and Jack Lescoulie were Quite different from today. Stay, as always.

 

 

I always saw some of the older crowd here telling folks back in the aughts that they would have pissed on a spark plug in the 80's for an 8 inch storm.....I'm guessing these days there are a lot of wet spark plugs around.....

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

Surprised this hasn't been posted yet - GFS looking like the Euro now...

Maybe we get our first decent event in 2 years. Figures, I get an offer to come out of retirement and now we'll get the snow....

Well, just poured the generator gas into the cars and left a bit for the smaller snowblower in case it snows sometime before April ( it started! But the prime pump is dry rotting ). Guess I should have waited. Gotta fill up the tanks again I guess.

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

January squall line tho. 

 

 

Seems like the places that used to be the bullseye for snow in the recent past are the same ones....glad to be out of it for a change! Did a a few trips in the Sound this year.Wonder what the wave heights are running there.

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

An hour or so

Hoping to maintain power. When we go down here its for days. On same grid as Menlo Mall.

This is awful. When should we be out of the worst of it in Middlesex  County NJ? 

6 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yeah, it was actually a legit emergency where I grew up. Busses couldn’t leave until the tide dropped and forget about parents in cars and station wagons in the days before SUVs. I remember being stuck for hours at mandalay elementary in wantagh as a 5th grader. Not to mention the winds were on par with sandy. That roar you never forget of hurricane force gusts.

I was teaching 7th grade. Just turned 30. The lights went out around 9 am and we sat in the dark til 3. An old building, it got dark. Tuna sandwiches were provided. Many chose to starve.....

8 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Schools closing for rain and wind. Imagine when we get a actual legit snowstorm 

It's happened before: March 2007. Schools flood.

5 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Press the cold, get more people in the game, and that’s a big win IMO. Don’t care how much or how little. Getting some flakes would be nice. 

We were really close on that last one; less than an hour from good accumulations.

38 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

And to think this was supposed to be a warm pattern. 

So you think there's a chance.....

1 minute ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I would be seeing you in the summer complaining about how much I hate the blinding sun and heat, and how much I crave the winter cold and darkness.

Be honest, how many meds would I be leaving your office with?

Well, I might suggest painting your windows black and cranking up the AC, or taking a trip to someplace like Bariloche in Argentina where it's winter....

59 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Basically 5 years of crap now with regard to the pattern...outside of Feb 2021 it's been mostly trash with the promise something better which fails to materialize 90% of the time.

I got out and enjoyed the inch I had while it was falling. Figured that might be it, you never know. Thought I saw some optimism in here yesterday but now it seems like people are dialing that back?

57 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I saw about 10 flakes and kept civilized. If they can’t get over whatever their issue is that’s for their therapist to help them figure out. It very much sucked but you accept there’s nothing you can do to change it other than move or if you have to, wreck up the banter thread. 

As a retired therapist I can tell you I never once had a client complain about lack of snow, but I had plenty get depressed over winter, snow or not. Most people just hate it. Way it is.

1 hour ago, North and West said:

If this is civil and respectful...

Oh there used to be some really nasty people here. I remember one famous poster who was an oil futures trader who told another poster he could be his foot stool for 250k....he didn't realize how that would be a huge salary to a lot of us and I immediately offered to interview for that job LOL. TBH it was a lot more fun for a guy like me who isn't quite so into the science, but I don't miss it either. Who wants to wander onto a weather site and be attacked? Can get that in real life every day....and as a social worker I pretty much did. Happily retired.

11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

They will be, and the southern half of this forum came very close this storm, it was unfortunate that there was an RNA and the strong El nino torched December and kept the Arctic air on the other side of the globe. That is changing now and the cold is on our side. 

My only fear would be the 1980s cold and dry warm and wet scenario given that we are in an RNA cycle. 

We still got our 3-5 quick shots in those days, and it would stick around.

3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yup. As everyone has said, late January to mid February is our time. Universal agreement across the board about that. 

Bring it. I've got 3 machines that haven't seen a flake in 2 years. And a road grew stationed at the local mall dying for some overtime....

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Definitely getting close to 2 inches here now. 

Still got the decorations up outside. Got some nice photos with the dogs ( white poodles LOL, with full winter gear on them ).

58 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 4:30 pm, 33F and snowing moderately to heavily at times with 1" on the ground and 1/2-3/4" on paved surfaces. However, reports of sleet in NB, so we might not get much more We'll see, since I'll always remember 3/1/19, when the sleet line stopped at the Raritan for hours, giving us ~5" of snow and 1-2" of snow/sleet then rain in NB - but this line doesn't look like it's stopping, lol.

So far it is holding off here in Colonia.

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Story of my life 

Still nice to look at. For the time being. More than I expected tbh.

Here's an observation; cloudy in Woodbridge NJ with an army of plows lined up at the local mall. Lots of salt everywhere. No precip yet. Steel gray out. Throw a log on the fireplace; even if it's all rain, it's gonna be cold. Good day for homemade chicken soup.

13 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

If the new 6z op Euro is correct that’s what it going to happen, it has warm nose mixing issues all the way up into Rockland/Bergen counties. It cut snow totals even more than 0z

It always changes and mixes further and faster than expected; it's probably going to disappoint a lot of people. It's just the way things have rolled for a long time now. 

19 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

You’re under a winter storm watch why do you care? 

I was just doing some yard work today and walked into my new shed and there was that big snow blower taking up space and I said, I really gotta get rid of this thing....wife says wait til spring. 

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

That storm next week is a beast. Models are actually trending stronger with it.

Euro gets down into the 960s with a very strong pressure gradient. I'm thinking 3"+ widespread totals, 60mph+ gusts and possibly major coastal flooding for some due to New Moon. 

Impacts will be worse due to all the rain we've had. 

Sounds like 98....lots of windy rainstorms. Soon as I heard El Nino I didn't expect much. Still don't. Cold out there this morning though. Can't hold onto it.

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Backend snow with a CCB would happen if the 500mb low closes off SE of us, which transports moisture around west of the low. Without it it’s likely progressive and wouldn’t amount to much. GFS looks nice but I’d believe that when I see it. 

Lack of sun matters so much for how it feels out; just came in from tossing the ball to the dogs and it has that "snowy" feel to it outside. Fingers are numb. Temp is 42 but it feels a lot colder. Would be nice to swing something out of this, nothing worse than cold rain. But not confident; winter has too much of a 90s feel to it. Totally unscientific, of course.

40 minutes ago, David-LI said:

Yes, NYC never saw a storm start as pouring rain and warm then switch to snow in the end. /s

Dec 92, but that was a monster and also, it was only white rain at the switch. Flooding was the story there, along with me being stuck with a classroom full of 7th graders with no power because the school district, unlike all the others in the state, decided it was safer to keep them there all day....