PrinceFrederickWx

Storm total so far: 1.93” Monthly total so far: 9.16”

LMAO I’m almost ready to post the annual Omen scene already @WxWatcher007

Well I certainly don’t want to buy Easter stuff now. I was frustrated this holiday season with craft stores as most of them down here had already sold out of Christmas stuff we needed by mid-December, and were stocking Valentine’s stuff. The new thing seems to be that we have to buy Christmas stuff around Labor Day I guess lol

The region just doesn’t cool off at night anymore. That’s been the main story the last few years.

Big Lots already canceled winter. I went in there today looking for post-Christmas deals, only to find they had already put out Easter stuff for sale.

You all are gonna be stuck waiting on hold for months like @wxdude64 if we don’t get snow soon. Might just get a fast busy signal.

I get what you’re saying with how you did the forecast. Sorry… I’ve just been losing patience with “Deniers” lately (not you).

There’s actually a quite a few good posters on this forum (and other subforums) who have seen it, but I’ve watched them get insulted and/or run off. Not trying to insult anyone, just stating facts.

You should’ve stuck to your arguments from last year (which increasingly look to be correct) rather than throw your lot in with the weenie hivemind like you did in your seasonal forecast. This was why I went really low in my snowfall contest predictions. Hopefully I’m wrong…

https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/21/weather/us-winter-temperatures-climate-change/index.html

The hivemind on the long range thread is all in on January.

Depends on what you mean. I do think it will snow this year, but I have been in the below-average camp since November.

Yeah the week after Christmas in 2017 was impressive cold: multiple subfreezing highs and lows in the single digits IMBY, which ended with a WSW early January. The only other time I’ve seen sustained cold like that here was February 2015.

I think this is the difference between myself and the long range thread people. They're interested in the process, but I'm interested in the results.

No. It occurred during our transition period to near-snowless hellscape.

Thank you for calling the newly launched AmWx Hotline of Hope, providing support for delusional weenies at an affordable price. Please select from one of the following options; or, stay on the line to hear recordings of Joe Bastardi’s winter forecasts. -To hear about SSW events, please press “1” -Siberian snowcover, please press “2” -MJO mumbojumbo, please press “3” -Earth’s magnetic poles reversing, please press “4” -To hear about how a giant asteroid impact would lead to additional snowfall in your backyard, please press “5”. Note that this option requires an additional fee.

The 2001-2030 snowfall normals for BWI and DCA will be single-digits LOL

I don't see how BWI could have a Trace, I have family that lives in Glen Burnie a few minutes away and they said it was definitely not just a dusting. Not to mention all the spotter reports surrounding it around 0.4-0.7" or so.

0.5” here. I have already exceeded last year’s total by… 0.5” lol

The feast-or-famine pattern that started in the 1970's was always predicted to turn into just famine only eventually. That may have started in 2017.

You people are talking about snow while my kids and I are heading to one of the beaches here tomorrow.

That's correct, I had 9.3" IMBY, just north of me in Huntingtown was the bull's eye at 15". Much of Southern MD did better with that storm than HECS 2016.

Looking at IMBY records the last ten years, this is true. I have had three WSW events in March (2014, 2015, 2018). In December I have had ZERO. It does seem like winter IMBY is increasingly being boxed into January. I've had six WSW events in January in the last ten years, while February has had only two, and it's been a long time too (President's Days 2015 & 2016).

I couldn't help myself so I looked this up now for BWI and DCA. There is one winter I can find which should give weenies hope: 1913-14. BWI was shut out until Feb. 6, when 0.2" of snow fell. That was the start of a pattern change featuring below average temps and numerous nickel-and-dime events, until the season finished at 23," which was 3.7" above the 1991-2020 average. DCA was shut out until Feb. 13-14, when 6" of snow fell. The final total at DCA was 28.6" which was 14.9" above the 1991-2020 average. Second place goes to 1965-66, where BWI was shut out until Jan. 22-23, when 2.1" fell. DCA was shut out until Jan. 26, when 6.9" of snow fell. The airports ended with seasonal totals of 32.8" and 28.4", respectively. As 1965-66 has been touted as one of the top analogs to this winter, it's probably best to wait until around then before being reaped.

I’m actually really curious now as to what the last date is that the airports have been shut out, yet still ended up above-average snow for the season. My cursory research over the weekend seemed to put the date around Jan. 23, but I’m going to look into it more if we’re still shut out next month.