PrinceFrederickWx

I think the last time I saw this particular combination of advisories, watches and warnings was during Superstorm Sandy.

Make sure you all buy in early (and be ready to sell at Happy Hour) for next Tuesday’s pump-and-dump.

I can't comment on other counties but I can understand Calvert closing early. If our high wind warning forecast were to verify, it would likely be the worst winds since since March 2018 (which schools also closed for). That caused a LOT of damage in this county, and there wasn't wasn't even any rain with it. Tropical storm conditions are essentially being forecast IMBY, but without an actual tropical storm.

Flood watch and coastal flood watch up for us too. Tropical tracking in January- who had that on their winter bingo card? LOL

The GFS should just stop at 240 every run and play a Rick Astley video instead of running to 384.

Start back in the November long range thread, read through all the comments chronologically while playing this in the background:

Warm wet / cold dry and an Ohio Valley HECS on the GFS. I’m dialing option 2 on my original hotline.

Reading the long range thread

Placing your bets in the long range look:

Weenies in the long range thread:

Imagine if this storm does a double rug-pull lmao

I had posted this in one of the storm threads last week but I really should have put it here. -Over the last ten snow seasons (2014-15 to 2023-24), BWI currently holds a 10-year average snowfall of 12.8." This is currently a record low, but winter isn't over yet. -The record lowest 10-year average is 14.3" which has occurred twice before: 1947-48 to 1956-57, and again from 1967-68 to 1976-77. -BWI will need to get at least 15.7" of snow this season to avoid tying the record low 10-year average. To break the record, there must be less than 14.7" this season.

I'm trying to remember the last time I ever got below the upper 20's IMBY... maybe for a few hours on Dec 23, 2022.

It doesn’t get cold at night anymore, that’s our main problem.

LOL did you all fall for another AmWx pump-and-dump? Need to add a fraud hotline to the phones too.

Yes, the "better sampling when it comes onshore" and "6z/18z are of lower quality because they ingest less data" are both myths that have been debunked by those in the know, but I still see them often repeated here.

Meh, storms like this were the reason this thread got started in the first place. Probably all rain for SoMD.

A Ravens superbowl win is always an indicator of a snowless winter that ends with a massive storm bust in March… just sayin.

The 10-year futility record at BWI was 14.3" which happened twice: 1947-48 to 1956-57 and again from 1968-69 to 1976-77. So @snowfan is correct. However, if winter ended right now at BWI, we would have a new 10-year futility record of 12.8". In order to get above 14.3", BWI needs to score at least 15.7" this winter. So this year is essentially do-or-die. Eta: this is 10-year average, not raw numbers.

It’s not just the lack of snow that bothers me, it’s also that lately we seem to be unable to get a significant wintry event outside of January. I haven’t had a WSW event in February since 2016 and in March since 2018. Most Feb/Mar now here have been a near-shutout. Everyone says peak climo is until March 15, but increasingly it looks like it ends around January 31. So tbh, I’d like it even more if we really do score big this year in February or March. That would give me a lot more hope that winter isn’t being boxed in.

Udder disaster shit the blinds winter with guaranteed cold rain coming up.

I’m listening to this while reading PSU’s posts about the GEFS. It fits perfectly. We’re all doomed.

We keep buying snowpants for our kids and then donate them every year cause they never got worn. It’s becoming an annual tradition. Eta: in fact for our youngest two we bought rain suits cause they like to play in the rain. Those got a lot of use already.

Monthly total is up to 9.29” now. Yep, 50 and fog seems to be every day in December the last few years…