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Posts posted by jpeters3

  1. 1 minute ago, Moderately Unstable said:


    Well, I looked up the specs for a P-3. C-130's top out at 320 knots, so to get to 375 knots in a C-130 you need a strong tailwind. I'll go check. If they're flying a 130 I'm a little confused. 

    Just looked it up.  Looks like it's a C-130.  I guess they attached the rocket booster.

  2. 1 minute ago, Moderately Unstable said:

    Indeed. I just did a bit of research, it has a top speed of 411 knots, which is actually very fast for a turboprop. Normal cruise is 328 knots. Something tells me they're trying to make up for lost time. 

    Is the AF aircraft a C-130? 

  3. 2 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said:

    Well, lol, the plane is certainly booking it, given that it's currently moving at a brisk 375 knots. 

    That should shave off an hour from my estimate!

    Satellite presentation is the best so far, supported by Raw T values.

    FWIW: T 7.1 as a post-processed value would equate to a 140 kt cat 5.  

    • Like 4

  4. 6 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

    Clearly at its peak right now.

    Also, the recon plane is back up in the air and headed south over the gulf.



    Cruising speed of these aircraft are ~320-340 mph.  They have about 1200 miles to get there, so roughly 4 hours.  Might be enough time!

  5. 1 minute ago, eyewall said:

    I think everyone wants to know the true intensity etc though.

    Right, i mean even I do.  But people on this forum act like it's a massive travesty to science and forecasting that is going to cost lives.  In reality, it's just a weenie travesty.

    • Like 3

  6. Relax people, life will go on if a recon doesn't get into the storm before landfall.  It's not like we don't know where it's going, and that it's probably going to be a shitshow on the ground underneath where it makes landfall.  It's also not like a few missing recon missions will crush future research efforts into TCs.  So relax....

    • Like 1

  7. 1 minute ago, dan11295 said:

    Its fairly common, but not always true. Laura didn't have a weak south side.

    Clearly you missed the whole epic battle about whether the weak south side of Laura was or was not due to radar attenuation

    • Like 7
    • Haha 1

  8. 1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

    Current IR presentation is definitely bottom-tier for a 140mph category 4 hurricane... imagine it’ll improve overnight prior to nailing Cancun.

    Motion of the cirrus to the east of the system suggests continued easterly shear.  This seems to be reflected in the RAMMB shear analysis, which shows about 15 kt currently.