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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    This is what I mean with the ridge moving west and establishing a cross Polar flow/-epo. All the ensembles don’t roll the ridge over which would pump the southeast ridge.
  2. Allsnow
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  4. Allsnow
    I think our best shot of snow will be as the pna ridge starts to retrograde west into Ak. This will allow colder air to enter the eastern US. With a active southern jet and colder air in Canada we will have our chances. I welcome this pattern change as it’s diff then anything we have seen in the last two years.
  5. Allsnow
    I think our best shot is when the pna ridge starts to move west. It will allow colder air into Canada and the southeast ridge will still be a bay, at least at first.
  6. Allsnow
    You’re definitely correct. It’s starting the fade the Aleutian low as hgts back into Ak. That could be good (see GEFS geps) or its a bit muted like the eps. Just need to see if it goes further west into the Aleutians which would be standard Niña. This might be a response from the mjo getting into p5/6
  7. Allsnow
    Could make the end of December and January colder if it continues into the colder phases.
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  9. Allsnow
    Drool worthy look to start December
  10. Allsnow
    The first one off the pna spike will definitely go west of us. After the 1 week of December I believe are chances of a snowstorm will be higher. The one around the 5/6th is our first chance.
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  13. Allsnow
    Yeah. Definitely. Ventrice thinks it might be from a Siberian ssw?
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  18. Allsnow
    Crazy. It only took two years of waiting. What is causing this look? Warm pool off the west coast? Mjo in cod?
  19. Allsnow
    @Isotherm what do you think is causing this niño response? Mjo with weak convection in P7? Or the warm pool off the west coast? Aleutian low/++pna/-nao is textbook niño December
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  21. Allsnow
    Just keeps getting better.
  22. Allsnow
    Wow.
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  24. Allsnow
    Eps doing the same
  25. Allsnow
    Yeah, looks like we start to cool Canada at the end of the run. That’s a pretty abrupt change on the weeklies for the first half of December. Last Friday it pretty much a Niña pattern for the month of December
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