weathermedic

Montauk Point Lighthouse Davis weather station network reported an 85mph gust. Don't know how high off the ground the sensor is mounted but still impressive.

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1028 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 191900- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 1028 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025 A line of showers with gusty winds will be moving across the area late this morning into early afternoon. This will likely be the time when the strongest gusts of the day occur. Gusts will be mostly 40-55 mph, but some areas will see gusts around 60 mph. Gusts up to 70 mph will be possible across Long Island and coastal Connecticut.

1.17 inches so far at my station

Any reports of coastal flooding in the usual spots?

Topped off at 3 inches here in Sheepshead Bay. Temp down to 28.

Back edge of the snow rapidly approaching extreme eastern metropolitan NJ and the Hudson River

2 inches here in Sheepshead Bay so far. Temp down to 30

1.5 inches on colder surfaces here in Sheepshead Bay. Snowing moderately. Temp still at 33

Very small flakes and 34 degrees. Everything wet

Wind now NW. Temp down to 40 DP 29 WB 36

4pm NWS Obs all showing westerly winds in the city and at Newark. CP down to 39 with a DP of 25

42 DP 31. Wet bulb 38 with a westerly wind at my station. Not very friendly for snow at the start

Nice write up from the afternoon OKX AFD: NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Key Points: * Winter Weather Advisories have been expanded across most of the local Tri-State region from 10pm tonight through 1pm Sunday. * 2 to 3" of snow expected across much of the interior, 3 to 5" for NYC/NJ metro and coast, and 4 to 6" for E LI, tonight into Sunday morning. Locally higher amounts possible. A strong polar low (-2 std 500mb height) digs southeast from Ontario into the Great Lakes into tonight. Trend over the last 24-48 hours has been for this feature to take on a slightly more neutral tilt (from positive) as it pivots towards the area tonight into Sunday morning. This will provide a bit more theta-e advection into the area, and also shift the the ULJ slightly farther NW of the region. At the surface, a weak cold front moves through the region this evening, with combination of approaching shortwave PVA and RRQ of 150kt ULJ inducing weak low pressure development along the front across Mid Atlantic this evening, tracking southeast of the 40/70 lat/lon tonight into Sunday AM. Although surface features are weak, the deep layered lift overnight into Sunday AM (including RRQ of ULJ, and modest mid-level frontogenesis/lift in the snow growth region along the coast), and slightly more depth of moisture for low pressure to work with has resulted in a gradual increase in QPF and snowfall totals over the last 48 hrs. Good agreement in liquid equivalent of .3 to .5 for coast and .1 to .2 for interior. Main snowfall amount forecast challenge is from northward extent and duration of moderate snow banding, and snow ratios during peak dendritic snow growth late tonight. SLRs should exceed typical 10:1 late tonight into Sunday morning during best snow growth period and dropping 850 hpa temps, with 12-14:1 seeming reasonable late tonight into Sun AM. This has resulted in a general 1" increase in snow amounts across the area. 3-5" likely across much of the coast including NYC/NJ metro, with locally 6" possible. 4-6" across E LI, with locally 7" possible. 2 to 4" across interior. WPC Superensemble and experimental NBM 5.0 have pretty good clustering in these ranges, with reasonable worst case (10% prob of exceeding) a couple of inches higher. In terms of timing, snow could develop as early as 6-7pm this evening, perhaps mixing with rain for city/coast at onset with air temps in the upper 30s/lower 40s. Steadier snow likely develops after 9pm from w to e, with a steady light to moderate snow from midnight through Sunday morning. Snowfall rates of up to 1/2"/hr likely develop after midnight through mid to late morning for much of the area, with potential for brief 1"/hr rates along the coast from 4am to 11am during best snow growth. This signal is evident in the high-res CAMs, with highest prob across southern and E LI. This will be time period of greatest travel impacts in terms of reduced vsby and snow covered roads with freezing/sub freezing air temps, higher snow rates, and reduced vsby. Initially above freezing air/surface temps for city/coast this evening, dropping below freezing late tonight into Sunday AM, may resulted in icy spots on untreated surfaces. Steady snow exits from w to e mid to late morning, except early afternoon for far SE areas.

37 on a southerly wind here

OKX AM AFD: SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Key Points: * 1 to 4 inches of snow are expected across the area tonight into Sunday morning, with up to 5 inches in eastern Long Island. * Winter Weather Advisories have been expanded slightly west and north to include all coastal zones from 10pm tonight through 1pm Sunday. * Windy and cold Sunday night into Monday morning with wind chills below zero in some areas. A strong closed h5 low dives SE through the Great lakes tonight. Associated positively tilted trough helps send a cold front through the area tonight. An area of low pressure forms along the front to our south in response. Because of the positive tilt, the low will be progressive and not really strengthen more rapidly until it is well off to our east. The precip shield with this system is however still expected well north of the weak low center and into our area thanks to synoptic lift courtesy of the right-entrance region of a strong upper jet streak adding to shortwave lift and the cold front itself. NBM and WPC liquid equivalent precip are in line with consensus of deterministic and ensemble model output. While there appears to be only modest omega in the dendritic snow growth zone, the zone is large due the magnitude of the cold aloft and is saturated. Upward motion is still there with the upper divergence and PVA. This, along with much of snowfall occurring at night and cold/low wet-bulb zeroes, should help offset the more typical lower liquid to snow ratios one would expect with surface temperatures close to freezing, which will be the case for the coastal areas for much of the event. Generally speaking, precip type starts as rain or a rain/snow mix at the coast with mainly snow inland this evening before a changeover to snow everywhere by midnight. Greatest impacts will be from late evening through at least mid-morning Sunday when the snow will have an easier time sticking to untreated surfaces. Snow should be exiting east out of area by around noontime Sunday. Snow amounts have not changed much from the previous forecasts, but with more confidence in the totals, Winter Weather Advisories for tonight into Sunday have expanded to include coastal CT, Southern Westchester County, and additional parts of NE NJ. Winds then pick up Sunday night into Monday and will be gusty with strong cold advection and a tightening pressure gradient. Wind chills late at night into Monday morning dip to -5 to 10 above, but are short of Cold Weather Advisory criteria. Highs on Monday will be averaging only around 30 - well below normal. Winds then diminish Monday night with wind chills not as cold this time, but still in the single digits to teens.