Stebo

There are easily at least 10 other posters in this thread I would give red tags to before yourself...

Dude, you literally post nothing of significance ever. Like I haven't seen you post any model diagnostics, other than wishcasting something does or doesn't happen.

I am not sure what the qualification is now, I got mine when I was already working. Inquiring with an admin would be a good idea.

Solid red tag post. Keep up the excellent quality.

The temps are definitely sus, unless it ends up a bit north then you'd expect some warmer temps.

I don't and tbh season trends this year says this is probably a hair south of where it will end up too.

The low initially is about 5mb weaker out in the plains compared to NAM/GFS/Euro.

I know I know, but that version of the GFS is sus as can be.

I would love for this to be right but I have big time doubts that it is anywhere close to this.

Yeah I think I'm done wasting time on this storm.

Love seeing bufkit being used. Warms my heart.

Because of your posts being terrible, nothing has improved with that tag and it actually makes it much harder for those of us also with the tag having to correct your posts. There is a bit of value carried in having that tag attached to your account.

2 models with more than 6" in Northern LOT. You are off here.

Good vibes from a part 2.

The struggle is that the models keep pulling a mcs ahead which the models want to attach the main low with it or jump the lowest pressure to that. I just dont buy a mcs induced low pulling everything ahead. Can it happen sure, will it though, I'm betting no. The confluence will be an issue but I feel like we had this same issue with GHD 2.0 and that completely ended up being a bad model output. I need to go back and read that thread to confirm but I definitely feel like that was the same issue being shown and it ended up being wrong as possible.

Yes it started going north then shit the bed.

Yeah there are some issues that definitely look off though too. that piece of vorticity that shoots way ahead

Yeah, though some of that confluence is because of the shit that shoots east, idk if I buy that at all.

Big bump north.

It didn't get good until around 30 hours.

Yes, the NAM is the easiest toss in the world.

North but still easy toss, grossly underdoing the strength of the low and cold sector precip.

Right price, lord knows no one is going to pay for him.

At the time it was good, but this is how the GFS has been, bad until the storm gets close.

I would like to lock in my answer, it is 18z GFS.