Stebo
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Everything posted by Stebo
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Yes it started going north then shit the bed.
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Yeah there are some issues that definitely look off though too. that piece of vorticity that shoots way ahead
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Yeah, though some of that confluence is because of the shit that shoots east, idk if I buy that at all.
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Big bump north.
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It didn't get good until around 30 hours.
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Yes, the NAM is the easiest toss in the world.
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North but still easy toss, grossly underdoing the strength of the low and cold sector precip.
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Right price, lord knows no one is going to pay for him.
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At the time it was good, but this is how the GFS has been, bad until the storm gets close.
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I would like to lock in my answer, it is 18z GFS.
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You being spectacularly wrong
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You dont need phasing to have a big storm. Like wow you are really going to fall on your sword with this one. GHD 2015 wasn't a phased system and I got 15" of snow. Or was i just imagining that snow storm.
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Like seriously how can one be so wrong on literally everything.
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You are so unbelievably wrong.
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Which means the op is on the southern end of that envelope.
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I would take this and move it north. Too much biting of one run shifting south on a few models while others staying consistent or still moving north.
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Old school images, gotta remember to convert mm to inches for QPF
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This upgrade has absolutely destroyed realistic cold sector precip. I just don't get what they did but they did something bad.
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Oh yeah there are definitely people like that out there.
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Same or even younger tbh.
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I have been doing weather observing for almost 12 years.
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I'd say its about same spot on the mean, but the cold sector is more generous (more realistic) this run.
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EPS Control/mean went back north, there were a few duds though. Interesting how we are spreading out more.
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What...
