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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    It has been shit from the get go so it is consistent there, but I don't trust it with southern stream pieces.
  2. Stebo
    I just find it annoying we keep chasing a day 7 storm, now it looks like the models want to blow up the thing a week from now. We have been chasing that storm for over a week now.
  3. Stebo
    All over the road with every piece.
  4. Stebo
    Too many moving parts, it is going to have something new every run.
  5. Stebo
    Also moving the block southeast is going to screw over next week's system too.
  6. Stebo
    Too sheared out in the northern stream, not phasing with the southern stream, and dropping the PV further south. All bad things if we want anything good for this region.
  7. Stebo
    When it is a handful out of millions to me it just taints the waters.
  8. Stebo
    There have been millions of vaccines and only a handful of adverse reactions/deaths. I really wish they wouldn't report any of that because it just scares people into not getting the shot.
  9. Stebo
    That has big storm potential too
  10. Stebo
    The globals are definitely struggling with this one, the mesoscale models are going pretty big.
  11. Stebo
    From earlier about a half hour ago, peak rippage
  12. Stebo
    Snow starting here finally.
  13. Stebo
    Im not worried about run to run changes, there are several moving parts in a fast flow pattern.
  14. Stebo
  15. Stebo
    With temps in the teens at best.
  16. Stebo
    GFS/GGEM/ECMWF to the moon
  17. Stebo
    Yeah there will be a squeeze play here which will force a strong gradient pattern at the very least.
  18. Stebo
    There is very obviously a SE ridge there too. It can only trend so far south.
  19. Stebo
    Absolutely think there is a legit potential, and if that happens lean higher.
  20. Stebo
    I'd have a hard time believing that would be rain rain if we put down snow between now and then. Yeah it could be raining but in the form of FZRA. This pattern certainly supports that potential too.
  21. Stebo
    It pretty much squashes everything.
  22. Stebo
    Even so that is one run of one model several days out.
  23. Stebo
    This one already has a thread. We don't need 2
  24. Stebo
    I think 3-4" is a good call here
  25. Stebo
    You got a link the 12z run? Pivotal only has 06z run as latest.
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