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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Also moving the block southeast is going to screw over next week's system too.
  2. Stebo
    Too sheared out in the northern stream, not phasing with the southern stream, and dropping the PV further south. All bad things if we want anything good for this region.
  3. Stebo
    When it is a handful out of millions to me it just taints the waters.
  4. Stebo
    There have been millions of vaccines and only a handful of adverse reactions/deaths. I really wish they wouldn't report any of that because it just scares people into not getting the shot.
  5. Stebo
    That has big storm potential too
  6. Stebo
    The globals are definitely struggling with this one, the mesoscale models are going pretty big.
  7. Stebo
    From earlier about a half hour ago, peak rippage
  8. Stebo
    Snow starting here finally.
  9. Stebo
    Im not worried about run to run changes, there are several moving parts in a fast flow pattern.
  10. Stebo
  11. Stebo
    With temps in the teens at best.
  12. Stebo
    GFS/GGEM/ECMWF to the moon
  13. Stebo
    Yeah there will be a squeeze play here which will force a strong gradient pattern at the very least.
  14. Stebo
    There is very obviously a SE ridge there too. It can only trend so far south.
  15. Stebo
    Absolutely think there is a legit potential, and if that happens lean higher.
  16. Stebo
    I'd have a hard time believing that would be rain rain if we put down snow between now and then. Yeah it could be raining but in the form of FZRA. This pattern certainly supports that potential too.
  17. Stebo
    It pretty much squashes everything.
  18. Stebo
    Even so that is one run of one model several days out.
  19. Stebo
    This one already has a thread. We don't need 2
  20. Stebo
    I think 3-4" is a good call here
  21. Stebo
    You got a link the 12z run? Pivotal only has 06z run as latest.
  22. Stebo
    Yeah that's a 2-4"er
  23. Stebo
    With how cold this air mass will be in place, this looks like a decent high ratio event. I think we can get more than 2-3.
  24. Stebo
    Lol any chance we can sack the terrible poster this century?
  25. Stebo
    It does because there is a wide expanse of a snow pack to the south and there is a pretty cold air in place ahead of the system. The WAA will produce precip and a good portion will be snow.
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