Stebo

It must absolutely be coming down in Cleveland KCLE 300059Z 27015KT 1/8SM +SN FG VV004 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0006 T00111011 0.06" in 7 minutes is pretty insane rates.

Just east of Baton Rouge BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 848 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR WATSON...GREENWELL SPRINGS...DENHAM SPRINGS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... CENTRAL EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 1145 AM CDT * AT 843 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTING IMMEDIATE EVACUATIONS IN WATSON. SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. WATER RESCUES ARE ALSO TAKING PLACE IN AMITE. SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN DENHAM SPRINGS. THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR WATSON. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING INCLUDE... DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PORT VINCENT...GREENWELL SPRING... SHENANDOAH. As for Baton Rouge proper... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 814 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... LIVINGSTON PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... WEST BATON ROUGE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... WEST FELICIANA PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... POINTE COUPEE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... ST. HELENA PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... IBERVILLE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... EAST FELICIANA PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... ASCENSION PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 215 PM CDT SATURDAY * AT 813 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO FALL OVER AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED BETWEEN 10 AND 26 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BATON ROUGE...ZACHARY...BAKER...DENHAM SPRINGS...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PLAQUEMINE...PORT ALLEN...NEW ROADS...JACKSON... ST. FRANCISVILLE...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...OAK HILLS PLACE... ST. GABRIEL...WALKER...ADDIS...BRUSLY... WHITE CASTLE AND LIVINGSTON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 SDC033-103-210145- /O.CON.KUNR.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160521T0145Z/ CUSTER SD-PENNINGTON SD- 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CUSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN PENNINGTON COUNTIES... AT 728 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CUSTER STATE PARK TO KEYSTONE...AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND MANY INCHES OF ACCUMULATED HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. SEVERAL INCHES OF HAIL HAS ACCUMULATED IN THE KEYSTONE AND IRON MOUNTAIN AREA.

Never underestimate the strength of the LLJ. I would hedge my bets toward the GFS.

NAM also has unrealistic shallow cold air bias. A high in thst location would already have a return flow. 48 isnt happening at 00z Monday.

GFS is leaning heavily on climo which makes sense at this range, the fact it shows any instability is a good sign.

I understand the worry, you don't want to have to spend money going all the way out there to see nothing. However, we both know you always see stuff out there, the outcome is always the same year to year, it is just the difference is in the details.

I wouldn't worry about an op run especially at a 15 day range...

I am getting very interested in the period around and after April 7th. Looks like a wholesale pattern change with a prolonged trough in the west and a ridge in the east. I could certainly see this period yielding some potential systems of interest with a high ceiling at that.

Like a 27c dew point, muggy would be an understatement.

I was waiting for you to post this to make us all feel real old. lol

I feel old now.

I was 7 during this summer, I remember going camping in the UP and having to wear a coat wherever we went. Remarkable to think this was over 20 years ago now.

I found this a few days back and forgot to post it. Someone on youtube uploaded the entire National Geographic Witness episode about the Joplin tornado in 3 parts. Part 1 http://youtu.be/qI6IoV1ruZA Part 2 http://youtu.be/hKuX4kTCHtg Part 3 http://youtu.be/5jy_lZGFZDI A really good collection of videos and first hand accounts.

Great videos but the thing is all 3 of these videos should have never been shot, because all three should have been in their basements/safe places.

Not a lot of damage photos/videos because of the location it hit, Elie isn't exactly a booming metropolis plus most of your storm chasers chase only in USA which is where the lack of video comes in.

Looks like a repeat this morning, some of the center parts of AK are -50 to -60. Pretty incredible even for AK standards.

Yeah I'd like to hope that he kept his interest of Meteorology, seems like a smart kid with a very high interest in meteorology.

Quite the experience right there.

When they come up on the Iowa and 20th area no words can describe what they saw.

Man that is just unbelievable how fast that thing spun up, it literally went from wall cloud to monster in 60 seconds.

Very good to hear you made it out ok, however it is unfortunate to hear that you have people you know who have died.

True, to be honest in a field this specialized you should consider yourself lucky if you get a job in the city you live in. That happened to be the case with me and I am very lucky that it occurred that way.

Most majors don't balance out jobs to grads, especially with how the economy is right now... Also like many others have said there are many ways into the field. Personally I am going the observer route right now.