Bubbler86

Definitely not. At least not in terms of patterns and big picture stuff. If the GFS was the ONLY model we would be in trouble with localized rain totals and coverage. Big trouble! I like that the Euro tends to slowly change vs. jump like the others but otherwise I see no real advantage on LR stuff. I know the Euro scores the highest of them all, with the Ukie second, when it comes to front placement on the day of the event but unsure where they score it from re: 3 days out or -5 days out, etc...

Yep. I get the feeling some here do not believe it if the Euro does not show it so instead of mentioning that the GFS and Canadian are wetter I just mention the Euro for a groggy Monday AM. LOL.

Muggy 72 here this AM. Euro clears out the front for the weekend but in the process has far too little qpf falling over the next 10 days so not optimal on that front. Highs in the low 80's Sat and Sun and upper 80's Mon.

Hot in the sun. Breeze helped a bit in the shade. Not "too" bad out our way the last two days.

Yea, its getting ugly.

I just went back to 2000 and this June will easily be the hottest of any of the last 21 years and other than 2005 it is not even close. June 2021 will end up 2-3 degrees warmer than any June since 2000 except 2005 when we were 2.4 above average. I think the premise that people think we have had a "cool" start to summer reinforces how hot our climate is becoming when a cool start to summer is the hottest month on record of the last 21 same months. Some of this is because of the GFS's trend to show cold and people like me posting it I guess.

I think Mahantango is going triple digits. Might have to dust off the record books to see where this June ranks in the hottest ever. Surely not top but maybe top 10-15.

We had a lot of clouds here today so only reached 85 but we have 90's in front of us as well the next 3 days.

How much for Chicago? GFS shows how to ruin the holiday weekend.

Better get used to brown yards hoping the latest weeks rain do come through and save them from dying off all together.

Trough starts out to our west like the GFS but is more progressive and migrates East as it opens up a bit. Triple digit temps possible early-mid week. Then more normal temps and better DP's into the weekend with scattered rain but the overall qpf map is not all that impressive for being 10 days out.

Storms are there but they are very scatted and very small.

Its great to ruin our days summer or winter. Ha

Cut off just to our west on the GFS. Will stop heat but risky for rain.

After the storms are the worst for me. The temp may be down a bit for an hour or so but the humidity skyrockets and makes being outside less tolerable.

Yep, the heat in Florida is a bit over stated because it is almost always humid on the peninsula from May through October and is usually humid other days all months.

Even Orlando which cannot claim "ocean is nearby" has an all time high of only 101. Its rare to get 100 down there.

Its not that it is worse its that it never stops. There are often no cold fronts from May through October. Its gets tiring getting up and not being able to see out of your window because the humidity has it covered in condensation. I have mentioned it on here before but it rarely hits 100 down there...very rare. TPA has never recorded a temp of 100. So it is definitely hotter here as to extremes. It just gets to 93-98 almost every day in the summer.

When I see someone say they could never live through a Florida summer I know that they could. Spending a few weeks there and you get used to it. May not like it but you tolerate.

I have a friend whole lives in the flat lands to the East of Seattle but before the mountains....she sent me a pic of her temp yesterday afternoon showing 104 just to let me see how real this was for them. Way out of any concrete jungle influences. She seems likely to break 110 for 2-3 straight days and I bet we see a 120 East of the mountains.

I can ride my bike for a couple hundred feet and make it official for myself :-).

To be fair, the CMC and GFS both say the Euro is wrong and fizzle the fireworks this weekend with the trough wound up to our west and moist, muggy S/W flow of constant rain especially east PA.

I mowed the part of my yard that is mature, yesterday, and its on the precipice of going dormant which eventually leads to brown off. If we get no rain until Thursday it will have passed to the bad side. FYI, 3K has those storms for today as well. Very hit and miss but something.

Man, that would be a huge blessing. Thanks for noticing that. Gives me a bit of hope.