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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. CTP recorded some 100+ readings from their spotters yesterday but did not see the complete list.
  2. There is a preponderance of info suggesting it is going to happen in some manner so would be very surprised to see it fizzle at this point.
  3. Euro has the typical "just when you thought it was safe to go you forgot an ULL was spinning over you" rains for Saturday. Mostly afternoon. Sunday looks fairly dry. Temps 70's on Sat and Upper 70's to low 80's Sunday.
  4. HRRR still blows up several significant cells Harrisburg and South as we go into the evening. Luck of the draw for who gets them.
  5. Euro continues to trend further north with ULL placement. Big rains tomorrow in some places. 1-2" for most of the Central and Southern LSV. 1/2-1" northern.
  6. Who had "Euro will change its tune and rain out the whole weekend" as their bet? Because the Euro just started running and we will soon find out :-)
  7. If this is truly the second or third hottest June for us (not you guys as much) we deserve a less brutal July with more troughiness. I will gladly give up the rando extra cold day to have more nice days and much less than 10 days over 90 like this month. Queue the discussion on whether a random front can grab the hurricane and end drought talk here. Who had fujiwara on their late June bingo card?
  8. A few 100's and lots of upper 90's on Wundermap. Definitely hotter than yesterday at this time per those readings.
  9. Not sure if that is a question but it was only scattered Diurnal stuff though there still may be some drizzle. Probably more rain today.
  10. Thanks. I ran through the 2M temps and saw a lot more cool days but have not had time to investigate but figured it somehow involved a back door front or east winds. I also noticed a moderate Hurricane slices Florida in half.
  11. GFS looks cautiously better for Fri and Sat. Not so good for the beaches. Temps on Sat get progressively colder the farther East you go as a low wraps up off the coast. CMC still a bit questionable but not terrible.
  12. I know it will be the second highest since 1980 (average temp, not departure) which your data agreed with. Most Junes back to 1980 were either negative departures or small positive. 1994 was the only one that was also in the 3's I believe.
  13. Hmm, you must be looking at something different (and different than what Tim posted yesterday) for MDT. Your first graphic says Pittsburgh? Departure from normal wise, this June will be #1 or # 2 since 1980 but those numbers do move each year. I thought Tim's data was using average temp though. I believe MDT is at 85.1 as of this AM.
  14. I actually thought that if you were here that post would have been reamed long ago.
  15. I think some people get 3-5" and some get 1/2" to 1". Those large scale 4-5" totals on the EC and CMC were never a likely outcome.
  16. Ironically the latest 3K has a batch north and south of Harrisburg.
  17. Good graphic. I think that frontal boundary is more a Thursday thing for us and the pop up variety is our destiny for today. The models showing storms a bit father south are doing it under the premise that being close but a bit too far south of that boundary is going to be the "loser zone". They all seem to have dry zones just to the south and east of the boundary influence areas.
  18. He must not be a fan of the Meso models as to location of storms. LOL. Its fair not to be. But here is the 3K qpf map through this evening with the majority of LSV storms being south or central.
  19. It's not your fault. It's like me mentioning WGAL future radar. LOL. But my point was it would be better for verbiage and guidance in word form otherwise the WPC maps just look like qpf maps from the latest model runs. The maps we post are just a piece of the puzzle.
  20. The WPC needs to stop putting out qpf maps if the Nam map verifies (opinion). Sorry about your sensor.
  21. The NAM wants little to do with widespread rain into the weekend. Its like the Anti-Nam
  22. No doubt. 25 and heavy snow will do just fine to make most happy.
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