Looks like rain over here but nothing on the radar. HRRR has frequent showers in Central and Eastern LSV this afternoon. Need that to pivot a bit west please
All of this stuff is highly dependent on Elsa as well. If Elsa came into Central PA there are no 40's. There is nothing to say the ridge does not stay just far enough away to keep this interesting (and wet).
Op GFS gives the 'Cane the Fidel treatment and declares it minimal.
(Edit, noticed a post on Trop board that said the Init. was way too low and the actual Ob's will not be ingested until the 18Z run)