Bubbler86

Compared to last year, I have received a cornucopia of rain. But it has dried up the last several weeks and the constant above average temps and beating down sun are working their magic. I feel like there have been more days with hit or miss showers this year vs. last but its been much warmer this year (up to this point) which is nullifying some of the extra rain we got.

Seems to be a regular summer these days with large areas facing drought concerns even if on D0 or D1. The drought map may be coming back next week if the pattern plays out like the GFS and Euro predict.

Being the first one up for nooners has its advantages of getting called on frequently.

3K Nam has some very refreshing temps Sat AM. Mid 50's for most of the state outside concrete jungles.

12Z Nam twins go out of their way in skipping much of the LSV today. Does have a line coming through tomorrow but luck of the draw like playing "I Got It" at the York Fair.

And these maps are so very localized in the summer since they are using some type of county average or a set of points in the county. Dauphin county says -2.7 but someone could be at -5 while someone else could be normal.

My across street neighbors yard is a good representation of what I am calling brown. Some green blotches but most dormant and browning. Can still see the mowing lines from 7-10 days ago which is always a bad sign.

Over here we stopped mowing last week. This happened a month earlier last year but have not heard a mower since June. No dirt patches yet just brown grass again. We had some rain July 3rd but nothing since.

I would agree if that was not it for the next 10...which is a real risk.

Just checked out the MA as I figured there would be a GFS vs Euro battle going on, in relation to Elsa, and there was but saw this as an extra bonus. Just to add to today's info. Short Pump type of day. This would include scattered rain part of tomorrow.

Only 70 here right now. Looks like rain outside but radar is not as joyful looking.

Speaking of half way, not sure if your precip counter is updated but if it is, that is ugly, Averaging 30 or so" for the year.

7+ weeks as of today. About 1/2 way through Summer.

Not all Eskimo's like to live in houses of ice! :-). Check out the CMC really sticking it to us with a 'Double Barrel Ridge' in 10 days. LOL

Yea, if it were not for drought concerns ramping up, it would be tough to look at them today. On the edge of a ridge with daily low end rain chances. No big fronts or SLP's to speak of and temps in the 80's/low 90's each day. No serious heat waves but no cool downs. Some serious heat no too far south of us though.

I figured it was a strategic typo to get me out putting on your courses.

Two days ago I was enthusiastic but now its down to pop up hopes it appears. So not a punt but it appears not everyone gets rain today and looking forward is ugly. Yesterday the Euro had you getting an 1" of rain in the next 24 hours. Not it has that or less in the next 240 hours. Even if we get some today its not looking great through much of July. We are left with hopes that the ridge is being depicted a bit too far west and we get into the return flow that Loseto mentioned. Better chance for people north of us sort of the way the radar looks this Am with the N LSV getting rain.

Was hoping the storm would interact with the front (it still may) to give us "Non Elsa tropical love". But some depictions on the models are subsidence hell then bone dry for days. The GFS depicts some people not getting any rain through July 21.

Eeesh. D word is coming out again soon.

Severe thunderstorm warning about 50 miles from the burg.

Going to need it if tomorrow falls through.

GFS has been consistently showing a big rain this evening over S/W LSV and it got it right though it ended up a bit more north over Cumberland County or the one in State College now.

Just noticed the new Nam keeps the core at the shore. No for Philly, BWI or DCA. Trends are not great for tomorrow. Worlds apart from the 12Z CMC which gave Lanco a full on drilling.

Their lows are so low we may see some ice issues.

Hopefully most score tomorrow and today a few get lucky.