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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. I just noticed most or all of us are listed as newbies beside our pics.
  2. Glad you scored. I took a chance and was enthusiastic for you but was looking at radar on a mobile phone so did not look hard and close.
  3. I got an "upgrade in process" page when trying before.
  4. Lots of rain showers invading the LSV right now. Small cells. I think tomorrow the coverage is much more in the afternoon.
  5. If one is not looking forward to a house blasting Cat 3 or above, we have a our next path to nice weather after a few days of heat.
  6. CMC's run of Elsa into the Atlantic does a good job of beating down the ridge. She does not help us with rain but does damage to the High.
  7. CMC is a similar mauling by El Presidente then a weak system into the Carolinas
  8. All of this stuff is highly dependent on Elsa as well. If Elsa came into Central PA there are no 40's. There is nothing to say the ridge does not stay just far enough away to keep this interesting (and wet).
  9. I did not post that one either. Nor the one showing 40's in PA Friday AM.
  10. I will not post the one showing MDT not hitting 70 on Sunday.
  11. Maine folks on a road trip. Mid July snow storm.
  12. Op GFS gives the 'Cane the Fidel treatment and declares it minimal. (Edit, noticed a post on Trop board that said the Init. was way too low and the actual Ob's will not be ingested until the 18Z run)
  13. Little humid over here but temps are a delight. A few showers about.
  14. Another thing that is usually not very good. Hurricane seasonal forecasting. But anyone that think this could NOT gain Cat 4 or 5 strength is fooling themselves. It could go from 2-4 in the Straights of Cuba alone if it slowed down by then. So I agree that this part of the forecast is usually off.
  15. I saw that and yea the NHC forecasts are always behind as well. At least the last few years, like you said. I suspect the NHC was letting the Euro weigh in some with their thoughts. Between the Hwrfurf GFS, HeyMon, and CMC all of Florida should certainly be thinking about what they will do if they are under a Hurricane Warning Monday. I checked the news papers down there and they are all hyping it.
  16. And almost always before models prog it. The Euro is out of this discussion because it has had almost nothing right with the intensification but not sure anything else had it popping this quickly. I have so very little faith in model intensity forecasts.
  17. There must be a huge disparity between different parts of Lanco for the Spring and Summer. That area near Gap/Chester keeps piling it on. Blizz might have to loan them some of his grass mowing apparatus.
  18. Saw this spotter report....is it saying he picked up 1.75" in 45 min? Did not know Lancaster County had rain on that level yesterday.
  19. Has really pulled away from the Florida coast destroy theory. Exactly as @Superstorm predicted. WAR...what is it good for...saving TPA
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