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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    I still think lots of PA sees quite a bit of rain....some have already. Not the actual system as much as moisture being wrung out by the trough. Looks like Lancaster county has several reports (east and west) over 1" now from a more stratiform though tropical like moisture flow. If the models that loop it back (GFS, HRR, Nam now) are correct we could see some real impressive totals even West of the Susq where there is already some 1/2-3/4" totals as well. Some may have two days of fairly solid rain.
  2. Bubbler86
    Mdt had snowpack from Jan 4th through March 22. Every day.
  3. Bubbler86
    Jan 1, 2018 I believe .....correction, Jan 3, 2018
  4. Bubbler86
    I saw an NWS Philly map somewhere and I think you were in the 1-1.5" area. But do not quote me. Cannot find it right now.
  5. Bubbler86
    Is Dave Tolleris's middle name Wayne or William? DW?
  6. Bubbler86
    Henri has an eye. Better late than never.
  7. Bubbler86
    I was waiting for the first "clipper us to hell" post.
  8. Bubbler86
    Bring her water. LOL. They are starting to crimp down on it more around Colorado (at least).
  9. Bubbler86
    18Z HRRR continues to be a drought ender (for those in drought).
  10. Bubbler86
    IMO, that is good if you want rain in Pallemschteddel.
  11. Bubbler86
    Even if it does not loop as far west as the HRRR is predicting, I bet there are some 2-4" totals in this area of PA as the moisture streams back upon the trough....loop back and we go 6-10" lollipops and expanding the zone up into NE PA.
  12. Bubbler86
    Yea and I keep posting it because 1) The Hrrr usually does not show qpf in that amounts. 2) It will not let go of the low coming in so far south and west them looping back over PA. I know better than to try and forecast this myself but still something to keep an eye on. And with tropical systems the model qpf's are frequently low in the areas that end up with the most.
  13. Bubbler86
    The HRRR still giving parts of LSV a thumping. Waynesboro just picked up 3/4"" of rain in 40 min. Rain Forest tropical downpour. Nothing in the 'Ville so far.
  14. Bubbler86
    He Is a heat meister so he has mixed feelings about it. Ha.
  15. Bubbler86
    And he was the "man" for my first back in PA snowstorm in NOV of '18. He called it while others were poo poo. Lol
  16. Bubbler86
    I was more following the model madness vs. Begging on the rain. Do not want anyone's basement to flood.
  17. Bubbler86
    A surprising 62 this Am. Watching Henri so much I forgot to to watch temps in the back yard. Humid though.
  18. Bubbler86
    But he would have all the data showing who had hacked HRRR. Unfortunately only he and The Sleestack can read the data so you will just have to trust him.
  19. Bubbler86
    Might be wet and wild.
  20. Bubbler86
    I think those qpf totals are crazy for the Hrrr. Scary. I would double the totals from the Hrrr.
  21. Bubbler86
    It's over 5" in East PA and no where near done at 48.
  22. Bubbler86
    The extended Hrrr is right there for the taking...Not stronger but tugged west. Of course it's the extended Hrrr.
  23. Bubbler86
    So you are saying there's a chance?
  24. Bubbler86
    Yea, that seems a bit too far east. We shall see. Nam 12 and 3K (with its Cat 4 still) tuck Henri near LI.
  25. Bubbler86
    Enjoy your FFW. LOL
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