Looking at radar we appear to have a clear shot to break 5" here. Not sure about 10. The people talking up the storm are going to have the last laugh I fear as it being a "no issue" type of situation is quickly coming off the table. HRRR still says this is a slow mover and raining moderate or better another 6-8 hours.
Just one mans observation....the line of precip in the "southern middle" of the state continues to set the stage for the area with the greatest threat of eventual flash flooding from falling rain (vs. upstream runoff).
Quick take on gfs from a phone view...continues to increase the severe threat for the lsv but also lessens flooding threat from direct rain though susky more at risk. Am I reading it wrong on my 5.5" phone?
HRRR really shows off the severe potential south of the Turnpike. Lots of the QPF down here is more cell based vs. heavy strat rain. Big Strat LSV totals are Cumberland/Dauphin and North.
Just taking the 3K as an example, the moderate rain starts at MDT 3Z Wed and stays moderate to heavy until about the same time Thursday. The super heavy stuff is not 24 hours but MDT already has about 2" when that arrives.
If you look at the current radar it is very similar to the EC depiction early in the storm. We stay fairly dry well into tomorrow. Spotty rains and less than 1" until later tomorrow.