Just one mans observation....the line of precip in the "southern middle" of the state continues to set the stage for the area with the greatest threat of eventual flash flooding from falling rain (vs. upstream runoff).
Quick take on gfs from a phone view...continues to increase the severe threat for the lsv but also lessens flooding threat from direct rain though susky more at risk. Am I reading it wrong on my 5.5" phone?
HRRR really shows off the severe potential south of the Turnpike. Lots of the QPF down here is more cell based vs. heavy strat rain. Big Strat LSV totals are Cumberland/Dauphin and North.
Just taking the 3K as an example, the moderate rain starts at MDT 3Z Wed and stays moderate to heavy until about the same time Thursday. The super heavy stuff is not 24 hours but MDT already has about 2" when that arrives.
If you look at the current radar it is very similar to the EC depiction early in the storm. We stay fairly dry well into tomorrow. Spotty rains and less than 1" until later tomorrow.
Most gutters are buried but when the rain gets too hard I see water coming down the side of the as as the gutters fill up faster than the water can be moved away. The one that is not buried has an extender away from the foundation.
When I moved into my place in 2018 they said I had a dry sump pump and thought that meant it was some new type of device that did not need to stay submerged. What they meant was I had a pit and no sump pump. Have never put one back in. Fingers crossed here. We have had over 3" of rain in short order before and no water so its when I get over 5 that I am going to worry.