Yea, one more shift North and I am going to suspend Operation Basement "Everything on plastic tables". 3-5" is not going to give us issues but this trend does give the Susquehanna people more to think about.
Harrisburg 7.1"Lancaster 6.3" York 5.7"Tamaqua 5.7" Williamsport 4.6" State College 4.8" Chambersburg 6.2" Clearfield 4.4"
Lollipops over double digits in areas....maybe not at official reporting stations though.
Some models (I just saw the NAM) focus the heaviest rain north of MDT so in those scenarios there would be some downstream raises I would suspect. Not upstream N PA style though.
12Z HRRR, Whether you want to call it a stall or just a slower moving front that first though, it is raining varying intensities through out much of the area for ~28-30 hours.
We are going to be putting stuff up in the basement tomorrow. Been here 3 years with no water but 2 of those years have been quite dry. But yea no should ignore it as whomever gets the high totals will not have much time to react if unprepared.
@Cashtown and I are both fine with a couple inches spread out over 24 hours. Take us into fall with decent soil moisture. No one wants 10" except maybe EJ.
18Z Icon keeps up the thought process though the rain itself does eventually clear out as the front leaves but technically the low never leaves the East Coast going into Friday. 18Z with a slight nudge south.
I have not had time to really dig in myself but this seems like a dynamic situation anyway that requires people to be flexible and play it by ear. With the Euro, Nam and Icon all showing over 6" its definitely something to at least keep open as a possibility.
One thing I will add to this since there are 3 or more models showing double digits totals in PA....those models have the low taking about 24 hours to traverse the general area. Not a stall like the Icon but still fairly slow moving. So the fast moving theory is still open for discussion.
Not sure if it is still stocked but there are a ton of fish there. During summer weekends there are lots of boats on the main lake. They are starting to open stores in the barracks now.