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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Frankly I do not have time to dive in unfortunately but did stop to look at the HRRR and Nam depictions to watch trends.
  2. Bubbler86
    Some models (I just saw the NAM) focus the heaviest rain north of MDT so in those scenarios there would be some downstream raises I would suspect. Not upstream N PA style though.
  3. Bubbler86
    12Z HRRR, Whether you want to call it a stall or just a slower moving front that first though, it is raining varying intensities through out much of the area for ~28-30 hours.
  4. Bubbler86
    Yes, how could I forget.
  5. Bubbler86
    We are going to be putting stuff up in the basement tomorrow. Been here 3 years with no water but 2 of those years have been quite dry. But yea no should ignore it as whomever gets the high totals will not have much time to react if unprepared.
  6. Bubbler86
    @Cashtown and I are both fine with a couple inches spread out over 24 hours. Take us into fall with decent soil moisture. No one wants 10" except maybe EJ.
  7. Bubbler86
    The Nam is a double digit midget for MDT along with the Icon and Euro.
  8. Bubbler86
    Tower City is a good, old fashioned rural PA town. You can buy 2-3 houses for the price of one in Camp Hill.
  9. Bubbler86
    18Z Icon keeps up the thought process though the rain itself does eventually clear out as the front leaves but technically the low never leaves the East Coast going into Friday. 18Z with a slight nudge south.
  10. Bubbler86
    The Center at Hershey? Congrats on the new job. We were in Palmyra passing through. Stopped at a thrift store but did not spend too much time in town.
  11. Bubbler86
    I have not had time to really dig in myself but this seems like a dynamic situation anyway that requires people to be flexible and play it by ear. With the Euro, Nam and Icon all showing over 6" its definitely something to at least keep open as a possibility.
  12. Bubbler86
    One thing I will add to this since there are 3 or more models showing double digits totals in PA....those models have the low taking about 24 hours to traverse the general area. Not a stall like the Icon but still fairly slow moving. So the fast moving theory is still open for discussion.
  13. Bubbler86
    Not sure if it is still stocked but there are a ton of fish there. During summer weekends there are lots of boats on the main lake. They are starting to open stores in the barracks now.
  14. Bubbler86
    Yea, not a forecast at all but not every day a 12-20" qpf map shows up. Cannot tell which shadow of yellow we are actually under and no soundings make it a guess.
  15. Bubbler86
    TT does not have soundings availability for the Icon but the stall scenario, whether for us or south, is a huge deal if it happened. That is Lee/Agnes territory then. The only way my place gets into an actual flood is if something comes over the mountain (not impossible per some info I read) but my basement will not like double digit rain. The flood possibility here is the lake at Fort Ritchie. Apparently there is a scenario where that lake could flood my house in PA.
  16. Bubbler86
    Icon stalls the low. Life threatening out this way.
  17. Bubbler86
    Travel spot weather update. Sunny and 88 in downtown Palmyra.
  18. Bubbler86
    No power for a long, long time it sounds like. Seems like the boat rescues are west of NOLA. Laplace.
  19. Bubbler86
    Flood rescue in NO again. Levees failing again? Crazy if some of these reports are true.
  20. Bubbler86
    Now, now hold on...the Blizz and Losetoa model had me in the big snows but I do not like where these adjustments are headed. Pretty soon Mag will be be partly cloudy and the 'Ville is jsut flurries.
  21. Bubbler86
    Ej set the hot dog record (unofficial) in the Ida thread.
  22. Bubbler86
    May be a reporting issue as the eye is well north and east of houma proper.
  23. Bubbler86
    It's amateur hour over on the main IDA thread. Seeing posts saying 'I was not expecting" or "It's going to do this" from people who not qualified to be making definitive statements about anything of this magnitude.
  24. Bubbler86
    So does the HRRR...especially west.
  25. Bubbler86
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