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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Even closer call for pa southers. Low getting amped and riding close for comfort.
  2. Rgem lining up with an early forming Vort as before. Sunday white out.
  3. He passed Jagr for the most goalies scored against at 189. 2 SO's in row for Thompson.
  4. Not sure that is exactly what the prevailing model trend is right now but it is on the table.
  5. Rou house but we are part way up the mountain to penmar. Driveway is covered. Radar looks like end is near.
  6. Has not snowed here all day but we are up to a mulch topper over the last 15 min.
  7. Model PBP, not a forecast...back roads might not be clear, due to the artic instrusion, when this comes calling
  8. Eurochatgpt is not far off though cannot see all the details.
  9. Just need it to be more consolidated with the LP. It had 3 different areas of LP in 3 panels on pivotal...3 hour between each.
  10. Haha, I am not worried about it but we have some cross posters. I do feel some slight pressure to post Kuch unless it is a super obvious as there is taint toward posting the one that shows the most. I am not of the opinion that we should go with qpf only maps as that does not account for mixed situations.
  11. GFS Miller B's off the coast. Several areas of LP but lowest goes from N SC to well off the coast between 15Z and 18Z Sun.
  12. Icon shifted NW quite a bit too so something to watch. Least we forget that those of us on the M/D were just skunked by under modeled forcing to our NW.
  13. There is a recent anti-Kuch theme in the MA, but if I post qpf someone is just going to post Kuch so here it is.
  14. Icon is a big hit. Pass through SE VA. Slower and more expansive precip field than 12Z. A monster borderline blizzard (winds too low) in NE.
  15. I asked someone in the know who said the sref is mostly made of up different iterations of the wrf, which is the basis for the Nam in core version wrf-nmm. They consider it the Nam ensembles though they see why someone would consider it 21 different models as they are separate cores so no clear answer there. Chatgpt considers it the Nam ensembles but Chatgpt is wrong a lot.
  16. Sure but I thought they are a direct correlation to the nam/wrf run in ensemble format in the eyes of NCEP. The purposely keep the GFS out of it.
  17. Srefs suggested it was going to trend more than that, a bit surprised.
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