Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Queen HRRR/HER? I agree, just looking at evolution and ignoring snow totals which wavered, the HRRR held its ground nicely.
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Man, you are so 2015. LOL. Ok, if you want to talk 500H... but the Nam, the Icon and others have held the torch over the last few winters. King Euro would have had my area flooding last summer vs. the actual drought that took place.
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@AccuChrisI saw you started some gameday Meso verification and PBP last night and I would have loved to join in on that, one of my favorites parts of this, but during daytime storms :-)
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Who is the dethroned King? The Nam is probably in the top 2-3 models for this run with verification starting at 84 hours. It did waver at times as well though.
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Still cloudy here and has dropped from 40 to 35 so snow retention is pretty good.
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Last December (2022) was 1-2 degrees BN so may be the reason for the difference. No month has been anywhere near BN this year. Feb is currently about 1.4 higher than last Feb.
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Icon is still a warning event for south PA. This does NOT include any snow today or from the first NS Vort.
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Icon showing a tad more Gulf pull now as well.
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Rgem not buying the Gulf opening as much as the Nam but still has that slp headed under us which would probably lead to a light snow if the moisture can hang on.
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Re: a few other posts since mine, the Nam does have that second NS Vort seemingly starting to tap some moisture from the Gulf. It is minored out to the point of no specific reflection on the panel but that look "should" continue forward and keep the cold in place for whatever moisture we get over us.
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I wondered where that was heading as the NS low is sort of lost.
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I was going to wait for lunch to shovel but it would have been all gone so I got my workout in this AM. It was heavy but stuck together nicely which helped.
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I remember last season changing the King moniker weekly. LOL. With that said, although some of the early extreme snow totals out by the Nam were too high, it definitely got closer to the ground truth than the Caandian and Euro from yesterday.
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I have added that the Nam looked a bit stoked. Earlier this week the Icon was minoring that storm out.
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Up to 37 here. Temp jumped after the snow stopped. I shoveled anyway as it is a good workout.
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GFS too north, EC 0Z too South for the Icon Sat snowstorm. At least a possible tracking event this week. A shallow trough promoting it. 84 hour Nam looked interesting as well.
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Snow stopped here around 30 min ago. Going with 3.5" and about 17" for the season so far.
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It already cut off in C-Burg and almost not accumulating here anymore. Line is moving pretty fast.
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Just about done here. About 3.3" right now so probably going to top at 3.4 or 3.5. Rates reduced to very light snow.
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Guess they changed over much sooner than we did. We had a really late change...even later than Lanco.
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We are near 3" here now. Not sure I make 4 but looks fantastic outside.
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The orientation of the shield suggests the farther SE areas of PA/LSV will end up with the highest totals. They might have 1-2 more hours of 1-2" snow rates (revised down as the back line is flying east now.)
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I have found that ABS is snow/ice in more of a detriment than help. When the ABS kicks in, you are helpless to stop.
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Your old haunt B-Dub getting dry slotted on this one.
