Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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We may be associating age related effects on our skin with something that is not Green House Effect related but I am on the side of the sun burning me faster and less snow accums during daylight hours. I know mitch posted the 12 year cadence but being here since 2018, it is rare that snow accumulates on our roads when it is 29 or above (during the day). It could not have snowed much harder than it did earlier and the roads were not phased at 32 or 33. It did get well into the 40's yesterday.
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It is not just your favorite place. https://www.wgal.com/article/video-deer-run-past-north-hanover-mall-jump-into-diner-window/39663199
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2 near misses on MR 12Z GFS. This one especially. Op MR so will change but opportunities are going to be there through Jan at least. And this is not directed at you Mitch, just a model comment and to say we still have tracking to do.
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You probably made a tidy profit on selling those Eagles tickets though, right?
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This is the somewhat dangerous 4 Way in Ringgold down the hill from me. Almost no accums there yet. We have a lot more grass a mulch whiteness up here. Suggests @Chris78 may not have much yet.
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LOL, enjoy it man. Unless the system is going to totally bomb, unlikely, it is just starting.
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I have experienced the same thing since moving here and think at times, it is worse (sun issues) with elevation. Down to 32 here now and snow is not laying on anything except grass and trash can. Roofs still wet.
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Assuming we get the moderate accums the models progged and we are hoping for, roads tomorrow are still going to be ugly outside major stuff. High near 20 is not going to promote much melting.
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Getting some roof stickage at Ski Liberty now. I bet some of the skiers are loving this (not sure if everyone likes it snowing while sking re: getting wet.)
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One has to take it out of the total qpf but not changing that you and I get 4" or maybe 5. Might be more on grass though.
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We have dropped to 33 so will not be long out here before real accums start in earnest. We are at least .1 of qpf into this though.
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Not much at Liberty yet. It is coming but we are in wait mode for road accums. Roofs are still just wet there.
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Not here but it is coming down so hard we are soon going to see mounting accums elsewhere. What is your surface temp?
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34 with Sn + here. Just starting to see some grass and mulch whitening. No roofs yet.
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The good snow stickage line (roads, etc) has moved east a bit to the NW corners of Franklin, Cumberland and into Perry county, south of pillow and out East. It is coming. Easters are lucky they have a better shot at coastal influence this evening when the line should be well past.
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Sure but we have wasted a half to one full inch now. It is snowing quite well. I am not changing my predict here. Still near 4"
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The freezing line has not moved much yet on the meso analysis. The cold is coming but yea we need the qpf to stay around for it (down here.). What did not happen was much cold air being pulled down yet. I am confident it happens but we are indeed wasting accums right now.
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Moderate borderline sn plus here but still above freezing so wasting a bit now. We would probably have a half inch at this point if colder.
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We have reached the stage where if one posts a model and it is bad, retorts come back about nowcasting, but if good like this is for Lanco and York down to near Adams, people rejoice. Nam12 and 3 hammer Lanco
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What did I "Tell you" LOL. Edit oh the snow storm on the 31st.
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Ditto here right now. All rain has mixed out but it is 34 degrees.
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I should have clarrified that my Rap comment was about IMBY and near Mitch.
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It is not even snowing up at Penn Mar. Just came down the hill. There are probably some flakes mixed ibn. Not worried about it, this stuff is bonus anyway.
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Yea, and if you look a the radar from the HRRR and Rap, the Rap is much more in tune with reality right now. The rap does not drop a lot of snow as it doe snot have much from a coastal CCB but just a comment to show the HRRR is did not initialize well so hard to take its numbers too seriously. Still light rain here
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I hate to model bash but those that say it cannot be used for qpf totals may be right....but I think it can be used for location of qpf, at least considered.
