Bubbler86
-
Posts
29,682 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Bubbler86
-
Plus your other friends would miss out with the rgem. Harmony for the win.
-
It is razor thin. It is in the minority except the HRRR right now and I would prefer the other suites :-).
-
-
Rgem takes a slightly different path but ends up in a similar place as the HRRR at this hour. Beat down just to the west. Borderline Mecs for Central Lanco County and NE. Southern Lanco is rainy.
-
-
Icon has moved NW for a good hit.
-
ChatGPT had a slight lowering but not really consequential
-
It smoothed NC PA out of 6-10". That is a Kruger Industrial Smoothing job if I have ever seen one.
-
This is not far from the Icon or EC.
-
3K snow map is much different than 12K and basically a medium westerward jump from 12Z with some upped totals in East LSV. But seeing a fold in 12K gives me extra caution about it now. Until it folded I gave it a chance to tell its story.
-
I get almost nothing on the Nam. Right on the edge of the 2" line to my west.
-
The Nam Kuchera map is a very strange one. LOL. Yea TT is slower, use pivotal. Plus the snow maps are bad in marginal situation.
-
The qpf presentation is weird, will wait to see the 3K.
-
Low nicely positioned over far S VA or N NC at hour 48.
-
Yes, it is a fold by the Nam IMO.
-
Nam looking like it could be better again. Has a better reflection in the SE.
-
Yep, just doing the PBP. Most people should know it is a situation where things are subject to change and not to take too much out of it.
-
It looks like it would be headed to cutting over SE PA. Would be some serious snow on the back end if it does not transfer.
-
Yep, it is riding almost into PA at 48 hours. Just a discussion...I say that to avoid the inevitable complaints about how bad people think it is. Very heavy snow in central PA as the low passes. ITT/MJS are enjoying a showery mid-upper 30's mid day Sunday.
-
-
HRRR starts off as rain for most of the Southers. Not a predict nor backing the HRRR thermals but it does have the SLP far enough north that some warm air push is taking place. SLP is in WV and that is too far north west for my liking.
-
That list I broke down were the only op models showing 5" or more for a large part of the area. They are looking at a lot of other stuff including percentage based progs. I thought since the GFS is over 5" they should do a WSW but if they do not, it is not crazy talk.
-
FWIW, HRRR still looks like it will have more qpf than some of the drier suites.
-
There is no WSW coming if that is their true predict. Many models are not WSW level snows.
-
If they are going to do a Winter Storm Watch it should be this evening. Tomorrow is too late. Warning time. (My opinion not a predict)
