Rgem takes a slightly different path but ends up in a similar place as the HRRR at this hour. Beat down just to the west. Borderline Mecs for Central Lanco County and NE. Southern Lanco is rainy.
3K snow map is much different than 12K and basically a medium westerward jump from 12Z with some upped totals in East LSV. But seeing a fold in 12K gives me extra caution about it now. Until it folded I gave it a chance to tell its story.