Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I have flown the sfb/hgr flight dozens of times. Getting the real gate at hgr so you do not have to get wet anymore was a real bonus. Plus, for those that park, the free parking is a huge plus. 7 days parking at BWI or MDT is almost 100 dollars.
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Dd's fault!
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Not going to be my screen background. Allegiant jets cloud land backwards at HGR with that little snow. Pilots mocking the snow.
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You missed out on some of the earlier snows....you are probably under 10" still, right?
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The GFS does not change it to snow in Harrisburg until Rush Hour Tue. IF we did get accums that could be ugly.
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The GFS change is the biggest wonderment on my mind as to whether it could snow down our way. Meso's outside the Nam just not buying it yet though. When I say snow I mean at least 2".
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Snow falls hard and fast at the end for western LSV on the GFS.
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I think it is more than 40 miles in compare to other models. I think the solution (as Caveman alluded to) is different as well. The life seems greater, and a much larger area turns to snow due to the rate of the precip. At hour 39 the Nam is is only that 20-40 miles south of the GFS but the snow line is a good 100 miles south.
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GFS a tad south at 33 but overall looking very similar to 12Z. Going to be an Altoona hammer.
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Concerning the Nam 12, I think it has to be discounted right now after seeing several other suites 18Z runs....with the caveat that it has done this sometimes in the past where it led the way early. If it had been pursuing this line of reasoning the entire time, I would feel better defending it but for now if I were forecasting for the LSV I would be Max 2-4 except fairly far north of Harrisburg. Almost nothing down my way being too far south and west for much coastal help.
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Rgem is going to be an ABE special. Stays rain near me through almost the whole storm. Low circulation is not too far from the M/D line as it goes by/forms ending up in the Northern DelMarVa.
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I would be happy with anything that gets MDT into double digits as to record keeping. Being at 9" with less than 3 weeks left in Met winter is potentially historically bad (not the worst of course).
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LSV Weenies as they switch from the 12K to 3K snow map.
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The Kuch on Pivotal is close to about what you wish for....6.5" where WB has over 10" in the same spot or very close. LOL
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Nam is snowing hard at 42 in the LSV. LSV Wide WSW would be needed. THIS is an official naming as it pertains to the LSV.
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A bit of a bow to the fv3
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The Gfs pre V-Day storm unless I saw it wrong on my phone. Yes, you are reading that right. 7" on V-Day
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Not as much as Canderson who gets 7". Snowing again Sat.
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Now you are speaking my language though disdain may be harsh for my thought. I do not like them treated as better than op's vs. to help verify ops.
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I would say this...models are changing rapidly now (maybe like usual though some don't agree) so still an event to keep an eye on. On the MA board it has gone from blockbuster to "no storm let's move to the 24th" to back where it is one to keep an eye on.
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