Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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With MDT getting below freezing this AM that makes 5 straight sub-freezing lows putting it in a tie for the second longest streak of sub-freezing lows in the last year/since February 2023 (if I saw the records correctly.)
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Rgem was way too cold for this AM.
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If it played out like that, this would be one where we would have to do model PBP's even at night. Miller A with cold air in place is nice.
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19 this AM.
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Buckle up is Ralph's call :-)
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Wiggum of 93!
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Look at the Nam trying to be contrary.
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Going to need something better than Phoenix Spilt. That sounds like a Class A Baseball team.
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Chris Elliott, is that you?
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If we had a good end to Feb with over 15", I think some would take it!
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I saw another met or two say winter is done by March 7th. Glad it is not my call to make.
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Quick hitter wet snow on the GFS for the 12/13th as a coastal strengthens and draws in slightly colder air on its way out. 1-3" of slop for middle and lower LSV but an improvement. The track is great though a bit suppressed for PA....the temps are not. Temps are so questionable that there is rain north of the LSV snow due to lower intensity.
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We are talking about two totally different things. No issues. I am pointing out the discrepancy of the mean low location and the snow depth means. Snow depth increases over the LSV after 7AM Tue.
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When the mean low is way past any time snow would be falling. Just ensemble fun and working with means.
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I meant the mean low position vs. the snow depth map. The mean low is well past the area before the depth changes.
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His view on March is in conflict with a lot of the MA LR posters. Met spring starts Mar 1 anyway. Extra day of Met winter this year though.
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I just saw the panels. Some real big hits on about 25% of the members.
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I was just looking at it...the timing is not what I expected re: the 12th in to the 13th. It is almost like some of the members have a follow up wave. Maybe it is just timing differences. I cannot see each member's panel (did not look at MA.) The mean is in Maine before some of the accums in PA.
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That is a good call. That is also a big factor in its slower speed as depicted.
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12Z Euro followed the GFS lead and slowed down the progression for 2/13 system while also keeping it well south of the area (again.) The slower movement missed the opening to come north like last run.
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34 at noon.
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Almost 0 confidence in solutions right now....they are wildly erratic and seemingly change "camps" from run to run.
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PA ends up mostly dry as the weird 2X Miller B solution hits a brick wall sending qpf north....series of lows exits to the east off the Carolina coast.
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Low is blocked as it cuts but a warmer solution so far....rain in southern PA Monday evening.
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12Z GFS with more siggy changes. Went from a 6Z cutter encroaching on PA to a low sitting in the SE at 144. Looks like it still eventually cuts several panels later.
