As you have done before, it is important to look at it over a longer-term view. Much of the area around Harrisburg does not have that large of a yearly deficit now but some of the more southern stations could get 1" a week and still be near double digit deficits yearly at the end of 4 weeks. With my near 1" today that gives me 2.8" in the last ~4 weeks meaning I am about 1" further in the hole now than I was on June 12th.
I had posted the very low levels of the local creek yesterday. This goes through the East Side of Waynesboro so saw 1.5"-2" totals and it only put a 1-1 1/2 foot rise in the depth and is already on its way down.
It only rained hard here for about 30-40 min so we did not get 1.5'. Any wunderground or other reports out of West Wanynesboro that are under 3" are faulty. Most of that area had 1-2" or higher rates for over 120 min. I have one 5.2" reading and one 4.6"
Definitely cannot assume rain based on radar. The cells reform/adjust in whatever direction they want. .9 (not .09) here with it winding down to lighter rain. 2.2" the last 26-27 days.
Almost a statewide line now just west of Waynesboro up. Going to be some street flooding in many places. Ironically it is all west (or close) of the flood watch last night
The area in WV and Western MD, though terrain enhanced, is really juiced up. The HRRR actually weakens that as it moves East and a new area forms in or east of the LSV after lunch. Interesting progression.
The GFS is really east based with the good rains (no one in the LSV or west sees 1"). the mesos's are predictably more convective looking but focus the heavier rains in much different areas which can be expected with convection, I guess.