Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Just a few drops at home. We gave up trying to eat in Waynesboro. Retreated to rouville. Has be over 2" in western Waynesboro.
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Sitting here waiting for it to stop. Would guess 1.5 to 2" has fallen in 45 min. East of Waynesboro is dry. Town divider.
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Dry in rouville. . Storm is in western Waynesboro. Tree down on 16 so Waynesboro is closed for a bit.
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Street flooding in waynesboro
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Cells firing in the central LSV.
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A big problem lately. With that said, things have really darkened up here. Wind's gusting in the 30's.
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The area in WV and Western MD, though terrain enhanced, is really juiced up. The HRRR actually weakens that as it moves East and a new area forms in or east of the LSV after lunch. Interesting progression.
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The GFS is really east based with the good rains (no one in the LSV or west sees 1"). the mesos's are predictably more convective looking but focus the heavier rains in much different areas which can be expected with convection, I guess.
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The meso's are all over the place. GFS suggests some areas near the LSV may not get much rain. I hope I get 1/4" to water the grass.
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I am truly not complaining as this is not that bad but a good portion of the area is still in a bad drought.
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Thanks for acknowledging. We have not had 5" of rain for May, June and July combined. Meanwhile in Marysville
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I was just walking around the yard and about 2/3 of the yard is dormant and brown/not growing. Not dead though so not really upset....after 2020 this is all a piece of cake.
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A good comment in a mid-July AFD (large wording.) After a mostly cloudy and cooler day Monday with lingering scattered showers, high pressure at the surface and aloft will return for Tuesday with mostly sunny skies, slightly below normal high temperatures and comfortable humidity.
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Seems we would need about 5-7" of rain in a 12 hour period here to flood our closest creek which is at its lowest point since the Much Worse than this Drought of 2020. It is 2 3/4 feet down from its high point of the last year in Jan. Minor flood stage is 6.5 feet but serious flood stage is a whopping 7.5 feet up at 10 feet.
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18Z continues to wind down the prospect of heavy rain chances for Sunday. The GFS has cut it back more than 50% and as most know, the GFS qpf maps are a smoothed depiction that does not account for the convective nature of the precip so this is a winners and losers look. Here is the total rain through Tue from the GFS (not counting this evening).
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That is more than I have had in the last 25 days combined. Count your lucky stars.
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I think it was your earlier post about being sunny.
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MDT is at or within a degree of 90. Will be a nice win for you over Joe Calhoun. Possible they are at 89 right now so may need one more degree.
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Sunday not looking like an area wide slam dunk anymore on 12Z's. More lottery like. Would have to compare previous runs to see if the wave of energy is different.
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Really take off south of the M/D Line.
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That is quite the fast ramp up for that broken line.
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Britany Spears got the biggest smackdown of all by Wemby's staff. It was like King Jaffe Joffer walking into a restaurant. Next he will need rose petals by his feet as he walks.
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JNS will need to let you know how many inches you will be getting this weekend.
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Mow 9 done here. Will need rain this weekend to go to double digits next week. 20 is becoming unlikely at this point.
