Ocala Florida has frozen and below freezing temps in their forecast around Christmas. Always a good sign of major cold here. This was sent to me, I do not use "The Bug".
Plenty of Mec/Hec on the ensemble members. The eps ensembles use slightly different starting points (except the control I believe) to cover many options but with so many showing at least a mecs, probably suggests the ceiling allows it. The perfect phase issue makes the floor a bit lower as well.
Here is the Nam from 24 hours ago showing where it predicted snow for a few hours this afternoon...since we(some) were singing its praises. Cumberland, far Northern Adams and York, Dauphin, N Franklin, etc...even very close to NE Lancaster
Nooners, 34 and heavy rain. 1.10" now. Just checked my contact part way up to high rock, at around 1500 feet, and they are 32 and Frz rain. No snow up there yet.
That would certainly limit the need for mosquito spray! LOL. We were at Assateague a few months ago. My wife does not know it, but she is getting a Nat Park pass for Christmas. Not paying to see the horses next time!